Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, SBH is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.56B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 17 Retail-Retail Stores, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SBH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How SBH ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Retail Stores, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SBH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.56B | 4/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 8.33x | 4/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.79x | 3/9 |
| EPS | $2.00 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $9.31 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $39.83 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.58 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SBH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 22.1% | 2/5 |
| ROA | 6.7% | 2/5 |
| ROIC | 13.5% | 3/11 |
| Gross Margin | 52.1% | 4/11 |
| Operating Margin | 8.4% | 3/11 |
| Net Margin | 5.2% | 2/5 |
| EBT Margin | 6.9% | 4/11 |
| Tax Rate | 25.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SBH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.37x | 2/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.57x | 6/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.31x | 5/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.31x | 5/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.7x | 7/13 |
| Working Capital | $757M | 2/12 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SBH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $368M | 3/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $241M | 3/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$127M | 4/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 39.2% | 2/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 43.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 6.5% | 3/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.4% | 2/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SBH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.29x | 7/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 141.0x | 2/9 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.8x | 9/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 13.4x | 4/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 3 days | 8/9 |
| Days Inventory | 204 days | 2/10 |
| Payables Period | 46 days | 4/10 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 160 days | 3/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SBH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.73B | 4/9 |
| Operating Income | $314M | 3/11 |
| Net Income | $192M | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.63B | 4/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.79B | 5/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SBH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 94M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -0.9% | – |
| EPS Growth | 32.5% | 2/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.31B | 45.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $173M | 6.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $26M | 0.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $996M | 34.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.01B | 69.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $330M | 11.4% of assets |
SBH quarterly financials and insider trading
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (Retail-Retail Stores, NEC): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.56B |
| JD Jd.Com, Inc. | ▼ | $36.50B |
| ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. | ▶ | $25.35B |
| BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. | ▶ | $4.06B |
| WOOF Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. | ▶ | $664M |
| TITN Titan Machinery Inc. | ▲ | $522M |
| HITI High Tide Inc. | ▲ | $224M |
| NEGG Newegg Commerce, Inc. | ▶ | $223M |
| FLWS 1 800 Flowers Com Inc | ▲ | $177M |
| NAAS Naas Technology Inc. | ▶ | $73M |
| BARK Bark, Inc. | ▲ | $70M |
| RENT Rent The Runway, Inc. | ▲ | $59M |
| INHD Inno Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $10M |
| TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. | ▲ | $6M |
| RCT Redcloud Holdings Plc | ▼ | $6M |
| LESL Leslie's, Inc. | ▼ | $560K |
| RMTG Regenerative Medical Technology Group Inc. | ▲ | $550K |
Where SBH sits on the market map
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) stock news
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Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, SBH is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For SBH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 34.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, SBH included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Retail Stores, NEC. The largest are: Jd.Com, Inc. (JD), Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA), Bath & Body Works, Inc. (BBWI), Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF), Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN), High Tide Inc. (HITI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.