Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Our AI scores Ulta Beauty, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $27.57B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 17 Retail-Retail Stores, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 10.43x is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For ULTA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ULTA included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Retail Stores, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $27.57B | 2/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 23.49x | 2/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 10.43x | 1/9 |
| EPS | $27.45 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $61.83 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $303.00 | – |
| FCF/Share | $28.35 | – |
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 50.5% | 1/5 |
| ROA | 19.2% | 1/5 |
| ROIC | 34.5% | 2/11 |
| Gross Margin | 39.3% | 6/11 |
| Operating Margin | 11.5% | 2/11 |
| Net Margin | 9.5% | 1/5 |
| EBT Margin | 11.4% | 3/11 |
| Tax Rate | 24.3% | – |
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.35x | 5/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.29x | 10/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.63x | 8/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.63x | 8/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 49.3x | 2/13 |
| Working Capital | $787M | 1/12 |
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.61B | 1/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.21B | 1/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$398M | 7/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 18.6% | 6/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 10.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 9.4% | 2/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.1% | 3/7 |
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.86x | 4/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 52.0x | 3/9 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.3x | 6/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.2x | 7/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 7 days | 7/9 |
| Days Inventory | 112 days | 5/10 |
| Payables Period | 30 days | 7/10 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 89 days | 4/8 |
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $12.96B | 1/9 |
| Operating Income | $1.61B | 1/11 |
| Net Income | $1.34B | 1/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $3.46B | 1/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $7.86B | 1/11 |
| Metric | ULTA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 43M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 12.2% | – |
| EPS Growth | 5.4% | – |
| Total Current Assets | $3.07B | 44.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $158M | 2.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $249M | 3.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $2.41B | 34.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $4.32B | 62.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.64B | 23.5% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ulta Beauty, Inc. (Retail-Retail Stores, NEC): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. | $27.57B | |
| JD Jd.Com, Inc. | $41.31B | |
| BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. | $4.31B | |
| SBH Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. | $1.71B | |
| WOOF Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. | $843M | |
| TITN Titan Machinery Inc. | $521M | |
| HITI High Tide Inc. | $229M | |
| NEGG Newegg Commerce, Inc. | $192M | |
| FLWS 1 800 Flowers Com Inc | $166M | |
| RENT Rent The Runway, Inc. | $77M | |
| BARK Bark, Inc. | $76M | |
| NAAS Naas Technology Inc. | $38M | |
| INHD Inno Holdings Inc. | $8M | |
| TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd. | $6M | |
| RCT Redcloud Holdings Plc | $3M | |
| LESLQ Leslie's, Inc. | $690K | |
| RMTG Regenerative Medical Technology Group Inc. | $410K |
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Our AI scores Ulta Beauty, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For ULTA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Ulta Beauty, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
17 issuers in our coverage, ULTA included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Retail Stores, NEC. The largest are: Jd.Com, Inc. (JD), Bath & Body Works, Inc. (BBWI), Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH), Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF), Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN), High Tide Inc. (HITI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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