Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Sera Prognostics, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Sera Prognostics, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $80M. It ranks number 21 by market capitalization among the 29 Services-Medical Laboratories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of -47475.7% is the lowest of the 17 peers that report one.
For SERA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SERA included.
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How SERA ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Medical Laboratories peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SERA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $80M | 21/29 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.34x | 16/22 |
| EPS | $-0.69 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.54 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.00 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.73 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SERA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -56.0% | 12/14 |
| ROA | -38.3% | 17/20 |
| ROIC | -59.8% | 23/24 |
| Gross Margin | -152.9% | 15/16 |
| Operating Margin | -53282.9% | 23/23 |
| Net Margin | -47475.7% | 17/17 |
| EBT Margin | -46745.7% | 23/23 |
Financial Health
| Metric | SERA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.98x | 17/26 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.46x | 10/22 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.46x | 10/22 |
| Interest Coverage | -5002.0x | 23/23 |
| Working Capital | $24M | 19/26 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SERA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$28M | 22/27 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$28M | 12/17 |
| Capital Spending | -$470K | 3/17 |
| FCF/Sales | -40211.4% | 16/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 665.7% | 2/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SERA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.00x | 17/18 |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.0x | 10/19 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.1x | 16/17 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 52 days | 10/19 |
| Payables Period | 2482 days | 2/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SERA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $70K | 19/19 |
| Operating Income | -$37M | 20/26 |
| Net Income | -$33M | 14/20 |
| R&D Expense | $13M | 12/20 |
| SG&A Expense | $31M | 16/20 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $170K | 14/15 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SERA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 39M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $48M | 55.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $4M | 5.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $10K | 0.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $27M | 31.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $23M | 26.7% of assets |
SERA quarterly financials and insider trading
Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sera Prognostics, Inc. (Services-Medical Laboratories): 30 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SERA Sera Prognostics, Inc. | ▼ | $80M |
| NTRA Natera, Inc. | ▲ | $56.71B |
| DGX Quest Diagnostics Inc | ▼ | $25.94B |
| LH Labcorp Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $25.79B |
| GH Guardant Health, Inc. | ▲ | $21.28B |
| CAI Caris Life Sciences, Inc. | ▲ | $8.64B |
| RDNT Radnet, Inc. | ▶ | $5.41B |
| GRAL Grail, Inc. | ▲ | $5.26B |
| BLLN Billiontoone, Inc. | ▲ | $4.63B |
| VCYT Veracyte, Inc. | ▲ | $3.47B |
| CDNA Caredx, Inc. | ▲ | $3.31B |
| CELC Celcuity Inc. | ▲ | $2.77B |
| FTRE Fortrea Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $2.14B |
| PSNL Personalis, Inc. | ▲ | $1.67B |
| FRNM Freenome, Inc. | ▶ | $1.26B |
| LMRI Lumexa Imaging Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.04B |
| CSTL Castle Biosciences Inc | ▲ | $976M |
| FLGT Fulgent Genetics, Inc. | ▲ | $545M |
| BDSX Biodesix Inc | ▲ | $250M |
| XGN Exagen Inc. | ▲ | $187M |
| BNR Burning Rock Biotech Ltd | ▲ | $139M |
| CFOR Capforce Inc. | ▲ | $43M |
| MDXH Mdxhealth Sa | ▲ | $20M |
| AMS American Shared Hospital Services | ▼ | $9M |
| ADVB Advanced Biomed Inc. | ▼ | $7M |
| ACON Aclarion, Inc. | ▲ | $5M |
| BGLC Bionexus Gene Lab Corp | ▲ | $4M |
| LUDG Ludwig Enterprises, Inc. | ▼ | $670K |
| FCHS First Choice Healthcare Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | $260K |
| RNLXY Renalytix Plc | ▶ | N/A |
Where SERA sits on the market map
Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) stock news
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Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Sera Prognostics, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Sera Prognostics, Inc. stock predictions?
For SERA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Sera Prognostics, Inc. forecasts updated?
Sera Prognostics, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Sera Prognostics, Inc.'s industry peers?
30 issuers in our coverage, SERA included, share the SEC industry code Services-Medical Laboratories. The largest are: Natera, Inc. (NTRA), Quest Diagnostics Inc (DGX), Labcorp Holdings Inc. (LH), Guardant Health, Inc. (GH), Caris Life Sciences, Inc. (CAI), Radnet, Inc. (RDNT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.