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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

J M Smucker Co (SJM) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 35.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $13.95B large-cap
Summary

J M Smucker Co (SJM) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores J M Smucker Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

J M Smucker Co is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.95B.

For SJM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SJM included.

Price

SJM price chart and AI forecast

SJM
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How SJM ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-31

J M Smucker Co (SJM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSJMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $13.95B – –
P/E Ratio 61.01x – –
P/B Ratio 2.43x – –
Dividend Yield 3.35% – –
EPS $2.14 – –
Book Value/Share $53.83 – –
Revenue/Share $85.72 – –
FCF/Share $14.87 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSJMIndustry medianRank
ROIC 5.9% – –
Gross Margin 38.6% – –
Operating Margin 9.1% – –
EBT Margin 4.6% – –
Tax Rate 45.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricSJMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.87x – –
Quick Ratio 0.35x – –
D/E Ratio 1.82x – –
Financial Leverage 2.82x – –
Working Capital -$298M – –

Cash Flow

MetricSJMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.91B – –
Free Cash Flow $1.59B – –
Capital Spending -$322M – –
OCF Growth YoY 86.0% – –
FCF Growth YoY 149.9% – –
FCF/Sales 17.4% – –
CapEx/Sales 3.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricSJMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.57x – –
Receivables Turnover 14.9x – –
Inventory Turnover 4.7x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.0x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 25 days – –
Days Inventory 77 days – –
Payables Period 78 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 23 days – –

Income Statement

MetricSJMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9.16B – –
Operating Income $826M – –
SG&A Expense $1.53B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $5.62B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSJMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.37 – –
Payout Ratio 204.2% – –
Shares Outstanding 107M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.99B12.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$43M0.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$616M3.8% of assets
Inventory$1.19B7.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$10.45B64.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.08B6.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SJM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies

J M Smucker Co (SJM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as J M Smucker Co (Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SJM J M Smucker Co $13.95B 61.0x 2.4x
SENEA Seneca Foods Corp $1.02B 8.4x 1.3x

Where SJM sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies
Explore the map →
News

J M Smucker Co (SJM) stock news

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FAQ

J M Smucker Co (SJM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the J M Smucker Co (SJM) stock forecast?

Our AI scores J M Smucker Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are J M Smucker Co stock predictions?

For SJM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are J M Smucker Co forecasts updated?

J M Smucker Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are J M Smucker Co's industry peers?

2 issuers in our coverage, SJM included, share the SEC industry code Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies. The largest are: Seneca Foods Corp (SENEA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.