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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Toast, Inc. (TOST) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 24.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $20.32B large-cap · #4 of 60 peers
Summary

Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Toast, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Toast, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $20.32B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TOST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TOST included.

Price

TOST price chart and AI forecast

TOST
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How TOST ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Toast, Inc. (TOST) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTOSTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $20.32B $857M 4/60
P/E Ratio 50.96x 26.70x 7/29
P/B Ratio 8.89x 2.99x 13/48
EPS $0.69 – –
Book Value/Share $3.96 – –
Revenue/Share $12.37 – –
FCF/Share $1.04 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTOSTIndustry medianRank
ROE 24.1% 8.6% 10/30
ROA 16.3% 2.2% 7/32
ROIC 22.1% 6.2% 9/39
Gross Margin 27.0% 62.0% 37/41
Operating Margin 7.2% 4.7% 21/46
Net Margin 7.7% 2.3% 12/32
EBT Margin 8.0% 3.8% 19/47
Tax Rate 3.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricTOSTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.66x 1.80x 16/51
Quick Ratio 2.43x 1.84x 5/11
D/E Ratio 0.48x 1.06x 35/51
Financial Leverage 1.48x 1.94x 30/45
Interest Coverage 13.8x 1.6x 12/44
Working Capital $1.76B $100M 3/51

Cash Flow

MetricTOSTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $668M $104M 8/49
Free Cash Flow $604M $192M 7/35
Capital Spending -$64M -$15M 29/35
OCF Growth YoY 8.8% 11.3% 17/31
FCF Growth YoY 7.1% 7.8% 15/27
FCF/Sales 8.4% 17.0% 24/35
CapEx/Sales 0.9% 1.2% 22/35

Operational Efficiency

MetricTOSTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.12x 0.83x 2/33
Receivables Turnover 50.7x 7.5x 1/36
Inventory Turnover 21.4x 8.9x 4/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 46.8x 19.6x 10/36
Days Sales Outstanding 7 days 49 days 36/36
Days Inventory 17 days 41 days 7/10
Payables Period 4 days 45 days 29/30
Cash Conversion Cycle 21 days 30 days 4/6

Income Statement

MetricTOSTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $7.15B $838M 5/38
Operating Income $512M $29M 6/48
Net Income $550M $6M 5/34
R&D Expense $406M $85M 4/33
SG&A Expense $1.41B $418M 7/43
Cost of Goods Sold $5.22B $238M 4/42

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTOSTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 578M – –
Net Income Growth 101.5% 2.4% 4/20
EPS Growth 475.0% 14.0% 3/24

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.82B83.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.20B35.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$141M4.2% of assets
Inventory$244M7.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.09B32.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.01B29.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TOST quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation

Toast, Inc. (TOST) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Toast, Inc. (Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TOST Toast, Inc. $20.32B 51.0x 8.9x
ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc $119.75B 26.9x 23.5x
WDAY Workday, Inc. $49.94B 46.3x 20.1x
VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. $29.48B 32.1x –
RDDT Reddit, Inc. $18.30B 17.4x 5.1x
HNGE Hinge Health, Inc. $9.34B 19.8x 27.1x
BILI Bilibili Inc. $6.12B – 44.0x
RNG Ringcentral, Inc. $6.09B 10.6x 95.8x
PEGA Pegasystems Inc $5.30B 16.5x 9.7x
APLD Applied Digital Corp. $4.70B – 2.9x
JOYY Joyy Inc. $4.12B – 91.2x
FA First Advantage Corp $4.04B – 3.1x
QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. $3.94B – 3.6x
LIF Life360, Inc. $3.86B 27.1x 6.3x
LFTO Liftoff Mobile, Inc. $3.07B – –
CARG Cargurus, Inc. $3.01B 20.0x 9.9x
ATHM Autohome Inc. $2.38B 150.2x 5.8x
DXC Dxc Technology Co $2.36B 303.4x 0.8x
RAMP Liveramp Holdings, Inc. $2.34B 16.0x 1.8x
FIVN Five9, Inc. $2.10B 65.4x 2.5x
GLOB Globant S.A. $2.08B 3.6x –
EVTC Evertec, Inc. $2.00B 21.5x 3.1x
INFQ Infleqtion, Inc. $2.00B – 3.5x
CLVT Clarivate Plc $1.55B – 0.3x
HAWK Hawkeye 360, Inc. $1.45B – 1.8x
INOD Innodata Inc $1.33B 39.8x 7.5x
UPWK Upwork, Inc $1.25B 11.4x 1.9x
GDRX Goodrx Holdings, Inc. $1.19B 49.9x 1.8x
LZ Legalzoom.Com, Inc. $1.02B 54.1x 7.6x
PLTK Playtika Holding Corp. $881M – –
TASK Taskus, Inc. $833M 8.7x 2.6x
SHAZ Sharonai Holdings Inc. $781M – 0.7x
YEXT Yext, Inc. $757M 45.0x 21.2x
CARS Cars.Com Inc. $715M 26.7x 1.6x
DDI Doubledown Interactive Co., Ltd. $673M – –
IBEX Ibex Ltd $658M 15.0x 3.6x
SOPH Sophia Genetics Sa $569M – –
NRDS Nerdwallet, Inc. $504M 14.9x 1.5x
OOMA Ooma Inc $497M 112.5x 5.1x
BRUN Boost Run Inc. $484M – –
GRVY Gravity Co., Ltd. $467M – –
EGHT 8x8 Inc /De/ $308M 106.5x 2.0x
TRVG Trivago N.V. $265M – 1.1x
GLOO Gloo Holdings, Inc. $249M – –
FIRY Firy Inc. $179M – 2.1x
MOVE Corvex, Inc. $166M – 0.3x
FCCN Spectral Capital Corp $158M – 2.8x
TCX Tucows Inc /Pa/ $133M – –
TRAK Repositrak, Inc. $126M 14.4x 2.4x
SSTK Shutterstock, Inc. $110M – 0.6x
QMLS Qumulusai, Inc. $90M – –
CAST Freecast, Inc. $68M – 30.0x
BHIC Bioscience Health Innovations, Inc. $65M – 35.2x
AIAI Aiai Holdings Corp $64M – 0.1x
VERI Veritone, Inc. $48M – 1.3x
DTCX Datacentrex, Inc. $40M – 0.5x
SJ Scienjoy Holding Corp $36M 1.8x 51.6x
PHUN Phunware, Inc. $35M – 0.4x
GMHS Gamehaus Holdings Inc. $34M – 1.1x
DGNX Diginex Ltd $34M – –

Where TOST sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
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News

Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock news

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FAQ

Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Toast, Inc. (TOST) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Toast, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Toast, Inc. stock predictions?

For TOST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Toast, Inc. forecasts updated?

Toast, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Toast, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TOST included, share the SEC industry code Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation. The largest are: Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP), Workday, Inc. (WDAY), Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK), Reddit, Inc. (RDDT), Hinge Health, Inc. (HNGE), Bilibili Inc. (BILI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.