Trivago N.V. (TRVG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Trivago N.V. (TRVG) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Trivago N.V. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Trivago N.V. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $280M. It ranks number 43 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 97.5% is the highest of the 41 peers that report one.
For TRVG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TRVG included.
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How TRVG ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trivago N.V. (TRVG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TRVG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $280M | 43/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.12x | 39/47 |
| EPS | $-0.25 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.52 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TRVG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -29.3% | 34/39 |
| Gross Margin | 97.5% | 1/41 |
| Operating Margin | -15.2% | 33/46 |
| EBT Margin | -14.6% | 33/47 |
| Tax Rate | -2.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TRVG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22x | 19/51 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.68x | 33/51 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.68x | 28/45 |
| Interest Coverage | 36.4x | 9/44 |
| Working Capital | $138M | 20/51 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TRVG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $35M | 34/49 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -42.5% | 30/31 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TRVG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Payables Period | 977 days | 1/29 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TRVG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | -$87M | 41/48 |
| SG&A Expense | $496M | 17/43 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $14M | 35/42 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TRVG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 71M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)
| Total Current Assets | $251M | 59.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $154M | 36.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $170M | 40.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $73M | 17.4% of assets |
TRVG quarterly financials and insider trading
Trivago N.V. (TRVG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Trivago N.V. (Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TRVG Trivago N.V. | ▲ | $280M |
| ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc | ▼ | $114.77B |
| WDAY Workday, Inc. | ▲ | $45.99B |
| RDDT Reddit, Inc. | ▲ | $29.97B |
| VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. | ▼ | $26.61B |
| TOST Toast, Inc. | ▶ | $18.28B |
| HNGE Hinge Health, Inc. | ▲ | $8.00B |
| RNG Ringcentral, Inc. | ▲ | $6.30B |
| BILI Bilibili Inc. | ▼ | $5.88B |
| PEGA Pegasystems Inc | ▲ | $5.68B |
| APLD Applied Digital Corp. | ▶ | $5.26B |
| QBTS D-Wave Quantum Inc. | ▼ | $4.35B |
| JOYY Joyy Inc. | ▼ | $4.21B |
| LIF Life360, Inc. | ▲ | $3.35B |
| FA First Advantage Corp | ▶ | $3.29B |
| LFTO Liftoff Mobile, Inc. | ▼ | $2.80B |
| CARG Cargurus, Inc. | ▲ | $2.70B |
| FIVN Five9, Inc. | ▲ | $2.41B |
| ATHM Autohome Inc. | ▶ | $2.40B |
| RAMP Liveramp Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $2.28B |
| DXC Dxc Technology Co | ▶ | $2.18B |
| INFQ Infleqtion, Inc. | ▼ | $1.93B |
| EVTC Evertec, Inc. | ▶ | $1.86B |
| INOD Innodata Inc | ▲ | $1.82B |
| GLOB Globant S.A. | ▲ | $1.73B |
| HAWK Hawkeye 360, Inc. | ▼ | $1.22B |
| CLVT Clarivate Plc | ▲ | $1.17B |
| GDRX Goodrx Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.15B |
| UPWK Upwork, Inc | ▲ | $1.05B |
| LZ Legalzoom.Com, Inc. | ▶ | $1.04B |
| SHAZ Sharonai Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $952M |
| PLTK Playtika Holding Corp. | ▲ | $805M |
| TASK Taskus, Inc. | ▲ | $754M |
| BRUN Boost Run Inc. | ▼ | $707M |
| DDI Doubledown Interactive Co., Ltd. | ▼ | $684M |
| YEXT Yext, Inc. | ▶ | $683M |
| NRDS Nerdwallet, Inc. | ▲ | $640M |
| IBEX Ibex Ltd | ▶ | $606M |
| SOPH Sophia Genetics Sa | ▲ | $573M |
| CARS Cars.Com Inc. | ▲ | $547M |
| OOMA Ooma Inc | ▲ | $544M |
| GRVY Gravity Co., Ltd. | ▼ | $464M |
| EGHT 8x8 Inc /De/ | ▲ | $280M |
| GLOO Gloo Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $280M |
| MOVE Corvex, Inc. | ▼ | $254M |
| FCCN Spectral Capital Corp | ▲ | $221M |
| FIRY Firy Inc. | ▲ | $191M |
| AIAI Aiai Holdings Corp | ▼ | $189M |
| SSTK Shutterstock, Inc. | ▲ | $164M |
| TRAK Repositrak, Inc. | ▶ | $131M |
| QMLS Qumulusai, Inc. | ▼ | $127M |
| TCX Tucows Inc /Pa/ | ▲ | $114M |
| BHIC Bioscience Health Innovations, Inc. | ▶ | $80M |
| VERI Veritone, Inc. | ▶ | $54M |
| DTCX Datacentrex, Inc. | ▼ | $51M |
| CAST Freecast, Inc. | ▼ | $50M |
| PHUN Phunware, Inc. | ▶ | $42M |
| SJ Scienjoy Holding Corp | ▲ | $38M |
| DGNX Diginex Ltd | ▼ | $34M |
| GMHS Gamehaus Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
Where TRVG sits on the market map
Trivago N.V. (TRVG) stock news
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Trivago N.V. (TRVG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Trivago N.V. (TRVG) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Trivago N.V. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Trivago N.V. stock predictions?
For TRVG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Trivago N.V. forecasts updated?
Trivago N.V. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Trivago N.V.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, TRVG included, share the SEC industry code Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation. The largest are: Automatic Data Processing Inc (ADP), Workday, Inc. (WDAY), Reddit, Inc. (RDDT), Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK), Toast, Inc. (TOST), Hinge Health, Inc. (HNGE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.