Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · OTC
Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, TRCK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Track Group, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $23M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 15 Communications Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TRCK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TRCK ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TRCK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $23M | 10/15 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.40x | 7/12 |
| EPS | $-0.72 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $0.36 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.79 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TRCK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 5.0% | 6/13 |
| Gross Margin | 47.9% | 7/13 |
| Operating Margin | 4.9% | 4/13 |
| EBT Margin | 59.8% | 1/14 |
| Tax Rate | 0.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TRCK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.94x | 6/14 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.86x | 5/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.62x | 2/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.62x | 2/12 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.2x | 5/14 |
| Working Capital | $7M | 9/14 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TRCK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $6M | 6/15 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -10.3% | 6/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TRCK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.85x | 3/12 |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.8x | 2/9 |
| Inventory Turnover | 31.0x | 1/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 47 days | 8/9 |
| Days Inventory | 12 days | 13/13 |
| Payables Period | 104 days | 4/10 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -46 days | 8/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TRCK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $36M | 8/12 |
| Operating Income | $2M | 6/14 |
| R&D Expense | $3M | 10/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $12M | 10/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $19M | 9/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TRCK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 46M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $14M | 32.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $8M | 19.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5M | 10.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $610K | 1.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $26M | 61.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2M | 4.3% of assets |
TRCK quarterly financials and insider trading
Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Track Group, Inc. (Communications Equipment, NEC): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TRCK Track Group, Inc. | ▶ | $23M |
| LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $73.92B |
| ESE Esco Technologies Inc | ▼ | $6.45B |
| NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc | ▶ | $1.27B |
| AIOT Powerfleet, Inc. | ▶ | $321M |
| TBCH Turtle Beach Corp | ▲ | $272M |
| RSKIA George Risk Industries, Inc. | ▲ | $101M |
| AMPG Amplitech Group, Inc. | ▼ | $72M |
| INSG Inseego Corp. | ▲ | $68M |
| REKR Rekor Systems, Inc. | ▶ | $46M |
| KSCP Knightscope, Inc. | ▼ | $13M |
| VISL Vislink Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $10M |
| MTEK Maris Tech Ltd. | ▶ | $4M |
| IWAL Iwallet Corp | ▼ | $2M |
| ASNS Actelis Networks Inc | ▼ | $1M |
Where TRCK sits on the market map
Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock news
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Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Track Group, Inc. (TRCK) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, TRCK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Track Group, Inc. stock predictions?
For TRCK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Track Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Track Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Track Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, TRCK included, share the SEC industry code Communications Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), Esco Technologies Inc (ESE), Napco Security Technologies, Inc (NSSC), Powerfleet, Inc. (AIOT), Turtle Beach Corp (TBCH), George Risk Industries, Inc. (RSKIA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.