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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Trupanion, Inc. (TRUP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 37.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.23B small-cap · #10 of 10 peers
Summary

Trupanion, Inc. (TRUP) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Trupanion, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Trupanion, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.23B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 10 Hospital & Medical Service Plans issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 1.77x is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For TRUP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TRUP included.

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Price

TRUP price chart and AI forecast

TRUP
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TRUP ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Trupanion, Inc. (TRUP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hospital & Medical Service Plans peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTRUPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.23B $22.49B 10/10
P/E Ratio 72.11x 25.77x 2/7
P/B Ratio 3.01x 2.84x 5/10
EPS $0.39 – –
Book Value/Share $9.34 – –
Revenue/Share $34.66 – –
FCF/Share $1.87 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTRUPIndustry medianRank
ROE 5.7% 8.6% 6/8
ROA 2.5% 3.2% 5/8
ROIC 4.6% 6.9% 7/10
Gross Margin 16.6% 54.6% 5/6
Operating Margin 1.6% 1.7% 6/10
Net Margin 1.5% 1.9% 5/8
EBT Margin 1.7% 1.4% 5/10
Tax Rate 11.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricTRUPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.77x 1.51x 1/10
D/E Ratio 1.27x 2.38x 9/10
Financial Leverage 2.27x 3.42x 9/10
Interest Coverage 3.5x 7.5x 8/9
Working Capital $314M $580M 7/10

Cash Flow

MetricTRUPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $94M $3.13B 9/10
Free Cash Flow $82M $1.27B 8/9
Capital Spending -$12M -$94M 2/9
OCF Growth YoY 34.4% 34.4% 5/9
FCF Growth YoY 34.0% 25.9% 4/8
FCF/Sales 5.4% 3.9% 2/9
CapEx/Sales 0.8% 0.4% 1/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricTRUPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.63x 2.12x 7/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 15.0x 72.4x 10/10
Payables Period 3 days – –

Income Statement

MetricTRUPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.52B $90.86B 10/10
Operating Income $24M $416M 8/10
Net Income $23M $840M 6/8
SG&A Expense $241M $13.59B 8/8
Cost of Goods Sold $1.27B $30.37B 6/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTRUPIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 44M – –
Net Income Growth 110.8% -33.7% 1/7
EPS Growth 200.0% -32.5% 1/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$719M77.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$149M16.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$521M56.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$394M42.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TRUP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Hospital & Medical Service Plans

Trupanion, Inc. (TRUP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Trupanion, Inc. (Hospital & Medical Service Plans): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TRUP Trupanion, Inc. ▼ $1.23B 72.1x 3.0x
UNH Unitedhealth Group Inc ▲ $360.32B 25.8x 3.7x
ELV Elevance Health, Inc. ▶ $92.88B 19.0x 2.1x
CI Cigna Group ▶ $79.88B 12.5x 1.9x
HUM Humana Inc ▲ $49.70B 44.1x 2.7x
CNC Centene Corp ▶ $34.16B – 1.5x
MOH Molina Healthcare, Inc. ▲ $10.82B – 2.6x
OSCR Oscar Health, Inc. ▲ $9.84B 22.0x 4.8x
CLOV Clover Health Investments, Corp. /De ▲ $2.38B – 6.3x
ALHC Alignment Healthcare, Inc. ▲ $1.72B 82.8x 6.5x

Where TRUP sits on the market map

Finance · Hospital & Medical Service Plans
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News

Trupanion, Inc. (TRUP) stock news

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FAQ

Trupanion, Inc. (TRUP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Trupanion, Inc. (TRUP) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Trupanion, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Trupanion, Inc. stock predictions?

For TRUP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Trupanion, Inc. forecasts updated?

Trupanion, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Trupanion, Inc.'s industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, TRUP included, share the SEC industry code Hospital & Medical Service Plans. The largest are: Unitedhealth Group Inc (UNH), Elevance Health, Inc. (ELV), Cigna Group (CI), Humana Inc (HUM), Centene Corp (CNC), Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.