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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 4.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $435M small-cap · #13 of 17 peers
Summary

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Verra Mobility Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Verra Mobility Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $435M. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 17 Transportation Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 36.5% is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its Current Ratio of 2.06x is the highest of the 16 peers that report one.

For VRRM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VRRM included.

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Price

VRRM price chart and AI forecast

VRRM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How VRRM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Transportation Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVRRMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $435M $4.57B 13/17
P/E Ratio 9.86x 18.07x 6/6
P/B Ratio 1.94x 3.03x 8/11
EPS $0.29 – –
Book Value/Share $1.47 – –
Revenue/Share $0.80 – –
FCF/Share $0.64 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVRRMIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.8% 13.2% 3/7
ROA 2.7% 1.7% 3/9
ROIC 9.9% 7.0% 5/10
Operating Margin 112.6% 4.7% 1/10
Net Margin 36.5% 3.7% 1/8
EBT Margin 78.8% 1.6% 1/11
Tax Rate 53.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricVRRMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.06x 1.19x 1/16
Quick Ratio 1.96x 1.85x 1/5
D/E Ratio 6.23x 1.87x 3/14
Financial Leverage 7.23x 2.88x 3/14
Working Capital $252M $136M 6/16

Cash Flow

MetricVRRMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $215M $232M 7/12
Free Cash Flow $97M $109M 7/9
Capital Spending -$118M -$174M 3/9
OCF Growth YoY -25.2% 22.4% 8/9
FCF Growth YoY -48.7% 86.0% 7/7
FCF/Sales 79.8% 6.9% 1/9
CapEx/Sales 97.1% 4.7% 2/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricVRRMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.08x 0.58x 9/10
Receivables Turnover 0.5x 6.0x 9/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 6.4x 9/11
Days Sales Outstanding 779 days 61 days 1/9

Income Statement

MetricVRRMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $122M $3.18B 9/11
Operating Income $137M $68M 5/11
Net Income $44M $44M 5/9
SG&A Expense $200M $276M 7/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVRRMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 152M – –
Net Income Growth 13.6% – –
EPS Growth 26.1% 20.8% 3/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$491M30.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$50M3.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$259M16.1% of assets
Inventory$24M1.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.39B86.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$97M6.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VRRM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Transportation Services

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Verra Mobility Corp (Transportation Services): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VRRM Verra Mobility Corp ▼ $435M 9.9x 1.9x
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. ▲ $122.81B 18.1x –
EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. ▲ $34.68B 18.0x 28.7x
XPO Xpo, Inc. ▶ $21.86B 60.0x 11.1x
GATX Gatx Corp ▶ $5.84B 16.4x 2.1x
GXO Gxo Logistics, Inc. ▶ $5.41B 174.8x 1.8x
HAFN Hafnia Ltd ▲ $4.98B – –
GBTG Global Business Travel Group, Inc. ▼ $4.96B – 3.0x
RXO Rxo, Inc. ▲ $4.72B – 3.1x
MMYT Makemytrip Ltd ▶ $4.57B – –
BWLP Bw Lpg Ltd ▼ $3.73B – –
LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.27B – –
GMRS Gmr Solutions Inc. ▶ $776M – 3.7x
SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc ▲ $368M – 0.9x
PAL Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc ▲ $89M – 0.3x
NTRP Nexttrip, Inc. ▼ $21M – 4.3x
TLSS Transportation & Logistics Systems, Inc. ▼ $940K – –

Where VRRM sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Transportation Services
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News

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) stock news

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FAQ

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Verra Mobility Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Verra Mobility Corp stock predictions?

For VRRM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Verra Mobility Corp forecasts updated?

Verra Mobility Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Verra Mobility Corp's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, VRRM included, share the SEC industry code Transportation Services. The largest are: Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG), Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE), Xpo, Inc. (XPO), Gatx Corp (GATX), Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO), Hafnia Ltd (HAFN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.