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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Winmark Corp (WINA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 50.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.13B small-cap · #5 of 14 peers
Summary

Winmark Corp (WINA) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Winmark Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Winmark Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.13B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 14 Retail-Miscellaneous Retail issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For WINA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, WINA included.

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Price

WINA price chart and AI forecast

WINA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How WINA ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-26

Winmark Corp (WINA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Miscellaneous Retail peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricWINAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.13B $183M 5/14
P/E Ratio 28.13x 24.57x 2/5
Dividend Yield 4.41% – –
EPS $11.20 – –
Revenue/Share $25.55 – –
FCF/Share $12.19 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricWINAIndustry medianRank
ROA 92.0% -21.4% 1/13
ROIC 157.3% 3.3% 1/8
Operating Margin 59.7% 5.8% 2/12
Net Margin 45.1% 0.2% 2/13
EBT Margin 57.9% 2.4% 2/13
Tax Rate 22.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricWINAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.20x 0.83x 2/12
Quick Ratio 3.12x 0.66x 2/11
Interest Coverage 26.5x -0.2x 1/17
Working Capital $22M -$16M 3/11

Cash Flow

MetricWINAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $44M $2M 6/16
Free Cash Flow $44M $44M 4/7
Capital Spending -$300K -$18M 1/7
OCF Growth YoY -1.7% 12.0% 6/7
FCF Growth YoY -2.0% -2.0% 3/5
FCF/Sales 47.7% 4.4% 1/8
CapEx/Sales 0.3% 2.0% 8/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricWINAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.04x 0.84x 1/7
Receivables Turnover 40.7x 20.0x 2/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 75.6x 5.8x 1/9
Days Sales Outstanding 9 days 18 days 7/8

Income Statement

MetricWINAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $92M $1.25B 8/8
Operating Income $55M $380K 4/13
Net Income $41M -$2M 3/14
SG&A Expense $30M $130M 5/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricWINAIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $13.88 – –
Payout Ratio 123.9% – –
Shares Outstanding 4M – –
Net Income Growth 0.4% 0.4% 3/5
EPS Growth -0.2% -0.6% 2/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$33M72.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$28M62.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2M5.0% of assets
Inventory$790K1.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$82M
Short-term Debt$8M18.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

WINA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Miscellaneous Retail

Winmark Corp (WINA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Winmark Corp (Retail-Miscellaneous Retail): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
WINA Winmark Corp ▼ $1.13B 28.1x –
FCFS Firstcash Holdings, Inc. ▼ $9.34B 24.6x 4.0x
SVV Savers Value Village, Inc. ▶ $1.55B 62.9x 3.5x
REAL Therealreal, Inc. ▲ $1.26B – –
SPH Suburban Propane Partners Lp ▼ $1.17B 11.3x –
TMS Teamshares Inc ▼ $401M – 3.7x
FGPR Ferrellgas Partners L P ▼ $239M 3.3x –
PLBY Playboy, Inc. ▶ $127M – 5.8x
AASP Agassi Sports Entertainment Corp. ▲ $69M – 26.2x
LIVE Live Ventures Inc ▶ $23M – 0.3x
VIPZ Vip Play, Inc. ▼ $14M – –
BLMH Blum Holdings, Inc. ▼ $5M – –
WBUY Webuy Global Ltd ▼ $4M – 0.7x
NEXR Nexera Technologies Ltd ▶ $1M – 0.2x
BLPG Blue Line Protection Group, Inc. ▲ N/A – –
CIMG Cimg Inc. ▼ N/A – –
FVTI Fortune Valley Treasures, Inc. ▲ N/A – –
MDEX Madison Technologies Inc. ▼ N/A – –
RTON Right On Brands, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where WINA sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Miscellaneous Retail
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News

Winmark Corp (WINA) stock news

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FAQ

Winmark Corp (WINA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Winmark Corp (WINA) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Winmark Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Winmark Corp stock predictions?

For WINA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Winmark Corp forecasts updated?

Winmark Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Winmark Corp's industry peers?

19 issuers in our coverage, WINA included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Miscellaneous Retail. The largest are: Firstcash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS), Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV), Therealreal, Inc. (REAL), Suburban Propane Partners Lp (SPH), Teamshares Inc (TMS), Ferrellgas Partners L P (FGPR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.