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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Xpo, Inc. (XPO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 22.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $21.86B large-cap · #3 of 17 peers
Summary

Xpo, Inc. (XPO) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, XPO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Xpo, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $21.86B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 17 Transportation Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For XPO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

XPO price chart and AI forecast

XPO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How XPO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Xpo, Inc. (XPO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Transportation Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricXPOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $21.86B $4.57B 3/17
P/E Ratio 60.02x 18.07x 2/6
P/B Ratio 11.14x 3.03x 2/11
EPS $3.11 – –
Book Value/Share $16.76 – –
Revenue/Share $73.23 – –
FCF/Share $5.02 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricXPOIndustry medianRank
ROE 20.6% 13.2% 2/7
ROA 4.8% 1.7% 2/9
ROIC 11.5% 7.0% 3/10
Operating Margin 8.8% 4.7% 4/10
Net Margin 4.7% 3.7% 4/8
EBT Margin 6.4% 1.6% 5/11
Tax Rate 25.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricXPOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.01x 1.19x 11/16
D/E Ratio 3.25x 1.87x 5/14
Financial Leverage 4.25x 2.88x 5/14
Interest Coverage 3.9x 0.4x 3/11
Working Capital $20M $136M 10/16

Cash Flow

MetricXPOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.09B $232M 3/12
Free Cash Flow $588M $109M 3/9
Capital Spending -$500M -$174M 8/9
OCF Growth YoY 29.2% 22.4% 3/9
FCF Growth YoY 281.8% 86.0% 1/7
FCF/Sales 6.9% 6.9% 5/9
CapEx/Sales 5.8% 4.7% 3/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricXPOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.03x 0.58x 3/10
Receivables Turnover 6.8x 6.0x 3/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.3x 6.4x 7/11
Days Sales Outstanding 54 days 61 days 7/9

Income Statement

MetricXPOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $8.57B $3.18B 4/11
Operating Income $752M $68M 3/11
Net Income $404M $44M 2/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricXPOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 117M – –
Net Income Growth 17.1% – –
EPS Growth 8.4% 20.8% 5/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.81B21.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$298M3.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.27B15.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$6.37B76.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.31B15.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

XPO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Transportation Services

Xpo, Inc. (XPO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Xpo, Inc. (Transportation Services): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
XPO Xpo, Inc. ▶ $21.86B 60.0x 11.1x
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. ▲ $122.81B 18.1x –
EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. ▲ $34.68B 18.0x 28.7x
GATX Gatx Corp ▶ $5.84B 16.4x 2.1x
GXO Gxo Logistics, Inc. ▶ $5.41B 174.8x 1.8x
HAFN Hafnia Ltd ▲ $4.98B – –
GBTG Global Business Travel Group, Inc. ▼ $4.96B – 3.0x
RXO Rxo, Inc. ▲ $4.72B – 3.1x
MMYT Makemytrip Ltd ▶ $4.57B – –
BWLP Bw Lpg Ltd ▼ $3.73B – –
LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.27B – –
GMRS Gmr Solutions Inc. ▶ $776M – 3.7x
VRRM Verra Mobility Corp ▼ $435M 9.9x 1.9x
SPCE Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc ▲ $368M – 0.9x
PAL Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc ▲ $89M – 0.3x
NTRP Nexttrip, Inc. ▼ $21M – 4.3x
TLSS Transportation & Logistics Systems, Inc. ▼ $940K – –

Where XPO sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Transportation Services
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News

Xpo, Inc. (XPO) stock news

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FAQ

Xpo, Inc. (XPO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Xpo, Inc. (XPO) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, XPO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Xpo, Inc. stock predictions?

For XPO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Xpo, Inc. forecasts updated?

Xpo, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Xpo, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, XPO included, share the SEC industry code Transportation Services. The largest are: Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG), Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE), Gatx Corp (GATX), Gxo Logistics, Inc. (GXO), Hafnia Ltd (HAFN), Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.