American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores American Airlines Group Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
American Airlines Group Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.72B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AAL included.
AAL price chart and AI forecast
How AAL ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $8.72B | 6/13 |
| EPS | $-0.07 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $92.12 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.14 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 2.6% | 5/7 |
| Operating Margin | 1.6% | 7/9 |
| EBT Margin | -0.9% | 7/9 |
| Tax Rate | 14.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53x | 8/11 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.2x | 5/7 |
| Working Capital | -$13.28B | 10/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.27B | 4/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$91M | 6/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$4.36B | 5/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 13.2% | 2/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -110.3% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -0.1% | 4/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 7.2% | 6/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.94x | 2/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 31.6x | 2/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.8x | 3/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 12 days | 6/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $60.98B | 3/9 |
| Operating Income | $971M | 5/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 662M | – |
| EPS Growth | -105.4% | 4/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $14.74B | 22.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.23B | 1.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.93B | 3.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $69.24B | |
| Short-term Debt | $24.69B | 38.0% of assets |
AAL quarterly financials and insider trading
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Airlines Group Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | $8.72B | |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | $57.37B | |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | $36.63B | |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc | $30.55B | |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co | $21.76B | |
| LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. | $13.69B | |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | $5.87B | |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | $4.35B | |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Co | $2.51B | |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | $1.71B | |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | $942M | |
| AZUL Azul Sa | $806M | |
| FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. | $45M |
Where AAL sits on the market map
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock news
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American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) stock forecast?
Our AI scores American Airlines Group Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are American Airlines Group Inc. stock predictions?
For AAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are American Airlines Group Inc. forecasts updated?
American Airlines Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are American Airlines Group Inc.'s industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, AAL included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.