United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, UAL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $32.88B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For UAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How UAL ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | UAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $32.88B | 2/13 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.49x | 6/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.97x | 5/8 |
| EPS | $10.67 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $51.44 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $193.79 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.84 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | UAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 20.9% | 1/6 |
| ROA | 4.1% | 1/7 |
| ROIC | 8.6% | 3/7 |
| Operating Margin | 7.8% | 3/9 |
| Net Margin | 5.6% | 1/6 |
| EBT Margin | 7.1% | 2/9 |
| Tax Rate | 21.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | UAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.78x | 5/11 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.06x | 4/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.06x | 4/8 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.0x | 5/8 |
| Working Capital | -$6.10B | 8/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | UAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $8.91B | 2/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.54B | 2/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$6.37B | 7/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -7.6% | 5/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -37.1% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 4.0% | 2/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 10.1% | 3/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | UAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.74x | 5/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 25.4x | 5/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.3x | 6/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 14 days | 3/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | UAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $62.90B | 2/9 |
| Operating Income | $4.87B | 3/9 |
| Net Income | $3.50B | 1/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | UAL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 325M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 5.7% | 1/5 |
| EPS Growth | 10.9% | 2/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $21.66B | 25.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $10.17B | 12.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $2.47B | 2.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $67.87B | 80.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $21.99B | 26.0% of assets |
UAL quarterly financials and insider trading
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $32.88B |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | ▶ | $49.57B |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc | ▼ | $27.19B |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co | ▼ | $19.97B |
| LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. | ▼ | $13.92B |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | ▶ | $7.86B |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | ▼ | $5.47B |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | ▲ | $3.92B |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Co | ▲ | $1.83B |
| AZUL Azul Sa | ▼ | $1.17B |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.15B |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $763M |
| FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. | ▲ | $61M |
Where UAL sits on the market map
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock news
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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, UAL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are United Airlines Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For UAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are United Airlines Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are United Airlines Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, UAL included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL), Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.