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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 35.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $31.19B large-cap · #2 of 13 peers
Summary

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks United Airlines Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $31.19B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For UAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, UAL included.

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Price

UAL price chart and AI forecast

UAL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How UAL ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUALIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $31.19B $5.47B 2/13
P/E Ratio 9.01x 29.42x 6/6
P/B Ratio 1.87x 1.96x 5/8
EPS $10.67 – –
Book Value/Share $51.44 – –
Revenue/Share $193.79 – –
FCF/Share $7.84 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUALIndustry medianRank
ROE 20.9% -0.6% 1/6
ROA 4.1% -0.5% 1/7
ROIC 8.6% 8.2% 3/7
Operating Margin 7.8% 5.3% 3/9
Net Margin 5.6% 0.6% 1/6
EBT Margin 7.1% 3.3% 2/9
Tax Rate 21.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricUALIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.78x 0.60x 5/11
D/E Ratio 4.06x 2.92x 4/10
Financial Leverage 5.06x 4.44x 4/8
Interest Coverage 1.0x 1.2x 5/8
Working Capital -$6.10B -$2.91B 8/11

Cash Flow

MetricUALIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $8.91B $2.53B 2/9
Free Cash Flow $2.54B $117M 2/7
Capital Spending -$6.37B -$2.98B 7/7
OCF Growth YoY -7.6% 3.6% 5/6
FCF Growth YoY -37.1% – –
FCF/Sales 4.0% 0.5% 2/7
CapEx/Sales 10.1% 9.9% 3/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricUALIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.74x 0.83x 5/7
Receivables Turnover 25.4x 27.0x 5/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.3x 1.5x 6/9
Days Sales Outstanding 14 days 14 days 3/7

Income Statement

MetricUALIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $62.90B $30.07B 2/9
Operating Income $4.87B $1.01B 3/9
Net Income $3.50B -$31M 1/7

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUALIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 325M – –
Net Income Growth 5.7% -155.9% 1/5
EPS Growth 10.9% -88.1% 2/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$21.66B25.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$10.17B12.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2.47B2.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$67.87B80.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$21.99B26.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

UAL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air Transportation, Scheduled

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. ▲ $31.19B 9.0x 1.9x
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. ▶ $49.57B 14.0x 2.2x
RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc ▶ $27.42B – –
LUV Southwest Airlines Co ▶ $19.32B 45.4x 2.4x
LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. ▶ $13.63B 2373.5x –
AAL American Airlines Group Inc. ▲ $7.86B – –
CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. ▶ $5.47B – –
ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. ▲ $3.92B – 1.1x
ALGT Allegiant Travel Co ▲ $1.83B 44.7x 1.7x
AZUL Azul Sa ▼ $1.17B – –
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.08B – 4.9x
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. ▶ $751M 14.2x 0.5x
FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. ▲ $61M – 2.1x

Where UAL sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Air Transportation, Scheduled
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News

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock news

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FAQ

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks United Airlines Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are United Airlines Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For UAL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are United Airlines Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are United Airlines Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, UAL included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL), Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.