Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.71B.
It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
Its P/B Ratio of 46.27x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 189.05x is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.
For ULCC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does.
Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ULCC included.
Price
ULCC price chart and AI forecast
ULCC
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How ULCC ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
Metric
ULCC
Industry median
Rank
Market Cap
$1.71B
$5.87B
10/13
P/B Ratio
46.27x
2.17x
1/8
EPS
$-2.28
–
–
Book Value/Share
$0.16
–
–
Revenue/Share
$20.06
–
–
FCF/Share
$0.23
–
–
Profitability & Margins
Metric
ULCC
Industry median
Rank
ROE
-1116.2%
-1.7%
6/6
ROA
-5.9%
0.8%
5/6
ROIC
-9.0%
8.4%
7/7
Operating Margin
-9.5%
6.3%
9/9
Net Margin
-8.9%
4.6%
5/5
EBT Margin
-9.2%
4.5%
9/9
Tax Rate
3.3%
–
–
Financial Health
Metric
ULCC
Industry median
Rank
Current Ratio
0.62x
0.62x
6/11
D/E Ratio
189.05x
2.92x
1/10
Financial Leverage
190.05x
4.30x
1/8
Interest Coverage
0.2x
1.0x
6/7
Working Capital
-$817M
-$2.91B
5/11
Cash Flow
Metric
ULCC
Industry median
Rank
Operating Cash Flow
$59M
$2.75B
9/9
Free Cash Flow
$53M
-$26M
3/7
Capital Spending
-$6M
-$3.31B
1/7
FCF/Sales
1.1%
-0.1%
3/7
CapEx/Sales
0.1%
9.7%
7/7
Operational Efficiency
Metric
ULCC
Industry median
Rank
Asset Turnover
0.66x
0.77x
7/7
Receivables Turnover
27.9x
27.9x
4/7
Fixed Assets Turnover
10.1x
1.5x
1/9
Days Sales Outstanding
13 days
13 days
4/7
Income Statement
Metric
ULCC
Industry median
Rank
Total Revenue
$4.62B
$31.55B
7/9
Operating Income
-$439M
$971M
9/9
Net Income
-$413M
$40M
6/6
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Metric
ULCC
Industry median
Rank
Shares Outstanding
230M
–
–
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
Total Current Assets
$1.35B
19.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments
$976M
13.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable
$166M
2.4% of assets
Total Liabilities
$7.00B
99.5% of assets
Short-term Debt
$2.08B
29.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports
ULCC quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Air Transportation, Scheduled
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Frontier swings to surprise profit, sees smaller-than-feared quarterly loss on higher airfares RE 11:14am Frontier Airlines cuts fourth-quarter earnings estimate to accommodate possible loss RE ...
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. reported financial results for the third quarter of 2026, delivering record revenue of approximately $1.4 billion, up 53 percent versus the corresponding 2025 quarter.
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to our first quarter 2026 earnings call. Joining me today in speaking order are Jimmy Dempsey, President and Chief Executive Officer; Bobby Schroeter, ...
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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For ULCC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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