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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 37.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.71B small-cap · #10 of 13 peers
Summary

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.71B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 46.27x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 189.05x is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For ULCC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ULCC included.

Price

ULCC price chart and AI forecast

ULCC
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How ULCC ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricULCCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.71B $5.87B 10/13
P/B Ratio 46.27x 2.17x 1/8
EPS $-2.28 – –
Book Value/Share $0.16 – –
Revenue/Share $20.06 – –
FCF/Share $0.23 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricULCCIndustry medianRank
ROE -1116.2% -1.7% 6/6
ROA -5.9% 0.8% 5/6
ROIC -9.0% 8.4% 7/7
Operating Margin -9.5% 6.3% 9/9
Net Margin -8.9% 4.6% 5/5
EBT Margin -9.2% 4.5% 9/9
Tax Rate 3.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricULCCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.62x 0.62x 6/11
D/E Ratio 189.05x 2.92x 1/10
Financial Leverage 190.05x 4.30x 1/8
Interest Coverage 0.2x 1.0x 6/7
Working Capital -$817M -$2.91B 5/11

Cash Flow

MetricULCCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $59M $2.75B 9/9
Free Cash Flow $53M -$26M 3/7
Capital Spending -$6M -$3.31B 1/7
FCF/Sales 1.1% -0.1% 3/7
CapEx/Sales 0.1% 9.7% 7/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricULCCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.66x 0.77x 7/7
Receivables Turnover 27.9x 27.9x 4/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.1x 1.5x 1/9
Days Sales Outstanding 13 days 13 days 4/7

Income Statement

MetricULCCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.62B $31.55B 7/9
Operating Income -$439M $971M 9/9
Net Income -$413M $40M 6/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricULCCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 230M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.35B19.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$976M13.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$166M2.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$7.00B99.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.08B29.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ULCC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air Transportation, Scheduled

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. $1.71B – 46.3x
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. $57.37B 16.2x 2.6x
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. $36.63B 10.3x 2.1x
RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc $30.55B – –
LUV Southwest Airlines Co $21.76B 35.9x 2.7x
LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. $13.69B 2383.5x –
AAL American Airlines Group Inc. $8.72B – –
CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. $5.87B – –
ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. $4.35B – 1.2x
ALGT Allegiant Travel Co $2.51B 27.5x 2.3x
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. $942M 7.7x 0.7x
AZUL Azul Sa $806M – –
FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. $45M – 1.5x

Where ULCC sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Air Transportation, Scheduled
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News

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FAQ

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For ULCC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, ULCC included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.