Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.08B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 4.88x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 30.61x is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.
For ULCC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ULCC ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.08B | 11/13 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.88x | 1/8 |
| EPS | $-1.59 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $0.97 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $16.59 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.04 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -164.9% | 6/6 |
| ROA | -5.2% | 6/7 |
| ROIC | -8.1% | 7/7 |
| Operating Margin | -10.2% | 9/9 |
| Net Margin | -9.6% | 6/6 |
| EBT Margin | -9.9% | 9/9 |
| Tax Rate | 2.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49x | 9/11 |
| D/E Ratio | 30.61x | 1/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 31.61x | 1/8 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.4x | 7/8 |
| Working Capital | -$1.14B | 5/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$399M | 9/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$468M | 7/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$69M | 1/7 |
| FCF/Sales | -12.3% | 7/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.8% | 7/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.54x | 7/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 32.2x | 2/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.8x | 1/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 11 days | 6/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.80B | 7/9 |
| Operating Income | -$386M | 9/9 |
| Net Income | -$366M | 7/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 229M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -638.2% | 5/5 |
| EPS Growth | -630.0% | 6/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.10B | 15.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $772M | 11.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $118M | 1.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $6.79B | 96.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.12B | 30.3% of assets |
ULCC quarterly financials and insider trading
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.08B |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | ▼ | $49.57B |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $31.19B |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc | ▼ | $27.42B |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co | ▶ | $19.32B |
| LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. | ▼ | $13.63B |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | ▶ | $7.86B |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | ▼ | $5.47B |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | ▲ | $3.92B |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Co | ▶ | $1.83B |
| AZUL Azul Sa | ▼ | $1.17B |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $751M |
| FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. | ▲ | $61M |
Where ULCC sits on the market map
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock news
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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For ULCC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, ULCC included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.