Ambev S.A. (ABEV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Ambev S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Ambev S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $51.62B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 23 Beverages issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 4.89x is the lowest of the 11 peers that report one. Its ROE of 67.0% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
For ABEV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ABEV ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Beverages peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in BRL and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ABEV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $51.62B | 4/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 4.89x | 11/11 |
| EPS | $0.67 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $3.84 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.84 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ABEV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 67.0% | 1/13 |
| ROA | 40.6% | 2/14 |
| ROIC | 82.1% | 2/16 |
| Gross Margin | 50.7% | 9/22 |
| Operating Margin | 24.2% | 4/22 |
| Net Margin | 17.5% | 5/14 |
| EBT Margin | 20.2% | 6/22 |
| Tax Rate | 2.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ABEV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96x | 15/24 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.73x | 12/23 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.64x | 12/20 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.65x | 11/19 |
| Working Capital | -$315M | 21/23 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ABEV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $17.20B | 1/21 |
| Free Cash Flow | $13.28B | 1/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$3.92B | 12/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 22.9% | 7/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.0% | 5/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 22.0% | 2/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 6.5% | 4/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ABEV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.32x | 1/14 |
| Receivables Turnover | 53.1x | 1/14 |
| Inventory Turnover | 15.8x | 3/20 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 12.2x | 3/15 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 7 days | 14/14 |
| Days Inventory | 23 days | 18/20 |
| Payables Period | 52 days | 15/20 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -22 days | 11/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ABEV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $60.48B | 3/16 |
| Operating Income | $14.64B | 3/21 |
| Net Income | $10.57B | 2/14 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $29.81B | 3/21 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ABEV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 15762M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 25.7% | 6/8 |
| EPS Growth | 26.2% | 4/10 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from BRL)
| Total Current Assets | $8.01B | 30.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $3.40B | 12.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.16B | 4.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $1.92B | 7.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $10.28B | 38.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $3.99B | 15.1% of assets |
ABEV quarterly financials and insider trading
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ambev S.A. (Beverages): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ABEV Ambev S.A. | ▼ | $51.62B |
| KO Coca Cola Co | ▶ | $403.93B |
| PEP Pepsico Inc | ▼ | $179.47B |
| DEO Diageo Plc | ▼ | $57.84B |
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | ▶ | $47.11B |
| STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. | ▼ | $22.43B |
| BF-B Brown Forman Corp | ▼ | $13.25B |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corp | ▶ | $7.15B |
| COCO Vita Coco Company, Inc. | ▶ | $3.37B |
| WEST Westrock Coffee Co | ▶ | $824M |
| SUJA Suja Life, Inc. | ▶ | $274M |
| BRCC Brc Inc. | ▶ | $253M |
| BUDA Buda Juice, Inc. | ▼ | $94M |
| CWGL Crimson Wine Group, Ltd | ▲ | $87M |
| JSDA Jones Soda Co. | ▲ | $32M |
| SRXH Srx Global Inc. | ▼ | $24M |
| WVVI Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc | ▲ | $10M |
| MOJO Equator Beverage Co | ▲ | $8M |
| AMSS Amass Brands | ▼ | $4M |
| YHC Lqr House Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| IPST Ip Strategy Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| EDVA Endovia Health Sciences, Inc. | ▼ | $940K |
| CIRX Cirtran Corp | ▶ | $130K |
| MALG Microalliance Group Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| MDWK Mdwerks, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where ABEV sits on the market map
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) stock news
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Ambev S.A. (ABEV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ambev S.A. (ABEV) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Ambev S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Ambev S.A. stock predictions?
For ABEV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ambev S.A. forecasts updated?
Ambev S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Ambev S.A.'s industry peers?
25 issuers in our coverage, ABEV included, share the SEC industry code Beverages. The largest are: Coca Cola Co (KO), Pepsico Inc (PEP), Diageo Plc (DEO), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ), Brown Forman Corp (BF-B).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.