Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. stock underperforms Friday when compared to competitors despite daily gains
This was the stock's third consecutive day of gains.
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
44.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$46.51B
large-cap · #5 of 23 peers
Summary
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, KDP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $46.51B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 23 Beverages issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For KDP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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KDP price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How KDP ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Beverages peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | KDP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $46.51B | 5/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 29.21x | 4/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.86x | 11/15 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.69% | 5/6 |
| EPS | $1.17 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $18.39 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $11.84 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.45 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | KDP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 5.7% | 8/13 |
| ROA | 1.6% | 8/14 |
| ROIC | 4.8% | 10/16 |
| Gross Margin | 36.9% | 14/22 |
| Operating Margin | 20.2% | 6/22 |
| Net Margin | 8.9% | 8/14 |
| EBT Margin | 12.2% | 11/22 |
| Tax Rate | 24.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | KDP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.48x | 20/24 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.28x | 18/23 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.16x | 6/20 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.50x | 7/19 |
| Working Capital | -$10.28B | 23/23 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | KDP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.53B | 6/21 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.97B | 4/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$557M | 9/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 19.4% | 9/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 23.1% | 4/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 12.2% | 6/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.5% | 8/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | KDP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.18x | 13/14 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.7x | 10/14 |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.6x | 13/20 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.5x | 11/15 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 55 days | 5/14 |
| Days Inventory | 138 days | 8/20 |
| Payables Period | 226 days | 2/20 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -33 days | 12/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | KDP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $16.11B | 5/16 |
| Operating Income | $3.26B | 5/21 |
| Net Income | $1.43B | 4/14 |
| SG&A Expense | $6.54B | 3/15 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $10.17B | 5/21 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | KDP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.92 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 78.6% | 3/5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1361M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -7.1% | 7/8 |
| EPS Growth | 9.3% | 5/11 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $9.46B | 10.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.52B | 1.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $2.42B | 2.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $3.86B | 4.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $53.97B | 61.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $13.45B | 15.3% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
KDP quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Beverages
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (Beverages): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. | ▶ | $46.51B |
| KO Coca Cola Co | ▶ | $395.75B |
| PEP Pepsico Inc | ▼ | $175.22B |
| DEO Diageo Plc | ▼ | $57.84B |
| ABEV Ambev S.A. | ▼ | $51.62B |
| STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. | ▼ | $22.13B |
| BF-B Brown Forman Corp | ▼ | $13.25B |
| PRMB Primo Brands Corp | ▶ | $6.88B |
| COCO Vita Coco Company, Inc. | ▶ | $3.37B |
| WEST Westrock Coffee Co | ▼ | $836M |
| SUJA Suja Life, Inc. | ▶ | $278M |
| BRCC Brc Inc. | ▼ | $263M |
| BUDA Buda Juice, Inc. | ▼ | $97M |
| CWGL Crimson Wine Group, Ltd | ▲ | $87M |
| JSDA Jones Soda Co. | ▲ | $33M |
| SRXH Srx Global Inc. | ▼ | $24M |
| WVVI Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc | ▲ | $10M |
| MOJO Equator Beverage Co | ▲ | $8M |
| AMSS Amass Brands | ▼ | $4M |
| YHC Lqr House Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| IPST Ip Strategy Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $2M |
| EDVA Endovia Health Sciences, Inc. | ▼ | $940K |
| CIRX Cirtran Corp | ▶ | $120K |
| MALG Microalliance Group Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
| MDWK Mdwerks, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where KDP sits on the market map
Manufacturing · Beverages
News
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) stock news
Are consumer staples stocks lagging Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) this year?
Investors interested in Consumer Staples stocks should always be looking to find the best-performing companies in the group. Is Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc (KDP) one of those stocks right now? By taking a ...
Keurig Dr Pepper’s 2.8% Dividend Yield Raises an Interesting Question
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ:KDP) offers investors exposure to well-known beverage brands, steady consumer demand, and a ...
FAQ
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, KDP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. stock predictions?
For KDP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. forecasts updated?
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s industry peers?
25 issuers in our coverage, KDP included, share the SEC industry code Beverages. The largest are: Coca Cola Co (KO), Pepsico Inc (PEP), Diageo Plc (DEO), Ambev S.A. (ABEV), Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ), Brown Forman Corp (BF-B).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.