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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 5.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $22.13B large-cap · #6 of 23 peers
Summary

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Constellation Brands, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Constellation Brands, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $22.13B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 23 Beverages issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For STZ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, STZ included.

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Price

STZ price chart and AI forecast

STZ
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How STZ ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-31

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Beverages peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSTZIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $22.13B $263M 6/23
P/E Ratio 11.50x 18.63x 9/11
P/B Ratio 2.58x 2.58x 8/15
Dividend Yield 3.20% 2.96% 3/6
Book Value/Share $50.28 – –
Revenue/Share $57.57 – –
FCF/Share $10.77 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSTZIndustry medianRank
ROE 22.4% 13.9% 6/13
ROA 8.7% 4.3% 6/14
ROIC 14.6% 9.0% 7/16
Gross Margin 55.6% 43.5% 7/22
Operating Margin 28.3% 1.6% 3/22
Net Margin 19.6% 10.1% 4/14
EBT Margin 25.1% 9.1% 5/22
Tax Rate 19.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricSTZIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.00x 1.02x 13/24
Quick Ratio 0.53x 0.73x 15/23
D/E Ratio 1.54x 1.25x 10/20
Financial Leverage 2.57x 1.97x 9/19
Interest Coverage 1.3x 0.1x 9/21
Working Capital -$4M $1M 16/23

Cash Flow

MetricSTZIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.66B $10M 5/21
Free Cash Flow $1.84B $309M 5/13
Capital Spending -$819M -$88M 10/13
OCF Growth YoY -4.0% 24.0% 10/10
FCF Growth YoY -0.5% 37.3% 6/6
FCF/Sales 18.7% 10.7% 3/13
CapEx/Sales 8.3% 4.2% 2/13

Operational Efficiency

MetricSTZIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.45x 0.60x 10/14
Receivables Turnover 14.5x 13.2x 5/14
Inventory Turnover 3.2x 3.6x 11/20
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.1x 3.3x 13/15
Days Sales Outstanding 25 days 28 days 10/14
Days Inventory 115 days 103 days 10/20
Payables Period 84 days 78 days 10/20
Cash Conversion Cycle 57 days 57 days 7/13

Income Statement

MetricSTZIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9.83B $3.19B 6/16
Operating Income $2.78B $230K 6/21
Net Income $1.92B $53M 3/14
SG&A Expense $1.91B $156M 4/15
Cost of Goods Sold $4.36B $284M 7/21

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSTZIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.15 – –
Shares Outstanding 171M – –
Net Income Growth 57.4% 42.2% 4/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.96B13.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$98M0.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$678M3.1% of assets
Inventory$1.38B6.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$13.18B59.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.96B8.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

STZ quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Beverages

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Constellation Brands, Inc. (Beverages): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. ▼ $22.13B 11.5x 2.6x
KO Coca Cola Co ▶ $403.93B 29.5x 12.0x
PEP Pepsico Inc ▼ $179.47B 16.5x 10.5x
DEO Diageo Plc ▼ $57.84B 15.8x –
ABEV Ambev S.A. ▼ $51.62B 4.9x –
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. ▶ $47.11B 29.6x 1.9x
BF-B Brown Forman Corp ▼ $13.25B 18.6x 3.3x
PRMB Primo Brands Corp ▶ $7.15B 70.4x 2.4x
COCO Vita Coco Company, Inc. ▶ $3.37B 36.0x 8.4x
WEST Westrock Coffee Co ▼ $836M – –
SUJA Suja Life, Inc. ▶ $278M – 2.4x
BRCC Brc Inc. ▼ $263M – –
BUDA Buda Juice, Inc. ▼ $97M – 4.5x
CWGL Crimson Wine Group, Ltd ▲ $87M 211.0x 0.5x
JSDA Jones Soda Co. ▲ $33M – 26.8x
SRXH Srx Global Inc. ▼ $24M – 0.2x
WVVI Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc ▲ $10M – 0.2x
MOJO Equator Beverage Co ▲ $8M 8.0x 4.2x
AMSS Amass Brands ▼ $4M – –
YHC Lqr House Inc. ▼ $2M – 0.1x
IPST Ip Strategy Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – –
EDVA Endovia Health Sciences, Inc. ▼ $940K – –
CIRX Cirtran Corp ▶ $120K – –
MALG Microalliance Group Inc. ▶ N/A – –
MDWK Mdwerks, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where STZ sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Beverages
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News

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) stock news

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FAQ

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Constellation Brands, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Constellation Brands, Inc. stock predictions?

For STZ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Constellation Brands, Inc. forecasts updated?

Constellation Brands, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Constellation Brands, Inc.'s industry peers?

25 issuers in our coverage, STZ included, share the SEC industry code Beverages. The largest are: Coca Cola Co (KO), Pepsico Inc (PEP), Diageo Plc (DEO), Ambev S.A. (ABEV), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), Brown Forman Corp (BF-B).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.