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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -9.0% Spearman, 100 dates
Market Cap $3.13B mid-cap · #6 of 17 peers
Summary

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Archer Aviation Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Archer Aviation Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.13B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 17 Aircraft issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ACHR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 100 forecast dates between 2026-03-02 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 143 forecast dates between 2026-03-02 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ACHR included.

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Price

ACHR price chart and AI forecast

ACHR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ACHR ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Aircraft peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricACHRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.13B $167M 6/17
P/B Ratio 1.66x 1.77x 6/10
EPS $-0.97 – –
Book Value/Share $2.46 – –
FCF/Share $-0.86 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricACHRIndustry medianRank
ROIC -45.9% -23.8% 11/14
Tax Rate -0.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricACHRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 10.21x 6.04x 6/18
D/E Ratio 0.16x 0.30x 10/15
Financial Leverage 1.17x 1.26x 9/14
Interest Coverage -234.4x -6.5x 12/14
Working Capital $1.49B $65M 4/18

Cash Flow

MetricACHRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$540M -$14M 16/17
Free Cash Flow -$660M -$57M 12/13
Capital Spending -$120M -$12M 10/13

Income Statement

MetricACHRIndustry medianRank
Operating Income -$943M -$22M 15/15
R&D Expense $626M $119M 3/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricACHRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 770M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.65B74.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$853M38.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$299M13.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$129M5.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ACHR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Aircraft

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Archer Aviation Inc. (Aircraft): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. ▼ $3.13B – 1.7x
BA Boeing Co ▶ $150.34B 69.7x 27.6x
EMBJ Embraer S.A. ▶ $13.08B 141.8x –
AVAV Aerovironment Inc ▼ $6.19B – 1.4x
JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. ▶ $4.61B – 2.6x
BETA Beta Technologies, Inc. ▲ $4.22B – 5.3x
AVEX Aevex Corp. ▼ $1.75B – –
EVEX Eve Holding, Inc. ▲ $565M – 24.7x
AIRO Airo Group Holdings, Inc. ▼ $167M – 0.2x
DPRO Draganfly Inc. ▶ $145M – –
HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. ▼ $92M – 1.9x
EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd. ▶ $69M – –
UAVS Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. ▼ $44M – 1.4x
MOB Mobilicom Ltd ▲ $37M – –
DUKR Duke Robotics Corp. ▼ $15M – –
XERI Xeriant, Inc. ▶ $10M – –
BRQL Dynamic Aerospace Systems Corp ▶ $6M – 0.7x
MTTN Matternet, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where ACHR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Aircraft
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News

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) stock news

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FAQ

Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Archer Aviation Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Archer Aviation Inc. stock predictions?

For ACHR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 100 forecast dates between 2026-03-02 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 143 forecast dates between 2026-03-02 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Archer Aviation Inc. forecasts updated?

Archer Aviation Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Archer Aviation Inc.'s industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, ACHR included, share the SEC industry code Aircraft. The largest are: Boeing Co (BA), Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), Aerovironment Inc (AVAV), Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY), Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA), Aevex Corp. (AVEX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.