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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $44M small-cap · #13 of 17 peers
Summary

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $44M. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 17 Aircraft issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For UAVS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

UAVS price chart and AI forecast

UAVS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How UAVS ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Aircraft peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUAVSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $44M $167M 13/17
P/B Ratio 1.43x 1.77x 7/10
EPS $-0.26 – –
Book Value/Share $0.49 – –
Revenue/Share $0.12 – –
FCF/Share $-0.24 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUAVSIndustry medianRank
ROIC -66.8% -23.8% 14/14
Gross Margin 53.7% 26.5% 3/7
Operating Margin -292.3% -156.5% 5/8
EBT Margin -327.1% -327.1% 5/9
Tax Rate 0.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricUAVSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 6.43x 6.04x 9/18
Quick Ratio 5.15x 5.15x 4/7
D/E Ratio 0.22x 0.30x 9/15
Financial Leverage 1.22x 1.26x 8/14
Interest Coverage 241.2x -6.5x 1/14
Working Capital $24M $65M 12/18

Cash Flow

MetricUAVSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$14M -$14M 9/17
Free Cash Flow -$15M -$57M 3/13
Capital Spending -$610K -$12M 2/13
FCF/Sales -194.7% -80.3% 6/9
CapEx/Sales 7.9% 5.5% 4/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricUAVSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.20x 0.20x 5/9
Receivables Turnover 5.9x 13.0x 6/7
Inventory Turnover 0.7x 3.3x 6/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.1x 10.0x 4/10
Days Sales Outstanding 62 days 28 days 2/7
Days Inventory 496 days 113 days 1/6
Payables Period 135 days 113 days 4/9
Cash Conversion Cycle 423 days – –

Income Statement

MetricUAVSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $8M $76M 9/10
Operating Income -$22M -$22M 8/15
R&D Expense $6M $119M 12/15
SG&A Expense $18M $57M 5/5
Cost of Goods Sold $4M $32M 9/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUAVSIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 63M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$28M74.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$16M42.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1M3.4% of assets
Inventory$6M14.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$7M18.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$3M7.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

UAVS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Aircraft

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (Aircraft): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
UAVS Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. ▼ $44M – 1.4x
BA Boeing Co ▶ $150.34B 69.7x 27.6x
EMBJ Embraer S.A. ▶ $13.08B 141.8x –
AVAV Aerovironment Inc ▼ $6.19B – 1.4x
JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. ▶ $4.61B – 2.6x
BETA Beta Technologies, Inc. ▲ $4.22B – 5.3x
ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. ▼ $3.13B – 1.7x
AVEX Aevex Corp. ▼ $1.75B – –
EVEX Eve Holding, Inc. ▲ $565M – 24.7x
AIRO Airo Group Holdings, Inc. ▼ $167M – 0.2x
DPRO Draganfly Inc. ▶ $145M – –
HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. ▼ $92M – 1.9x
EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd. ▶ $69M – –
MOB Mobilicom Ltd ▲ $37M – –
DUKR Duke Robotics Corp. ▼ $15M – –
XERI Xeriant, Inc. ▶ $10M – –
BRQL Dynamic Aerospace Systems Corp ▶ $6M – 0.7x
MTTN Matternet, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where UAVS sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Aircraft
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News

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) stock news

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FAQ

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. (UAVS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. stock predictions?

For UAVS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. forecasts updated?

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc.'s industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, UAVS included, share the SEC industry code Aircraft. The largest are: Boeing Co (BA), Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), Aerovironment Inc (AVAV), Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY), Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA), Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.