Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.92B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ALK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ALK included.
Follow ALK free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.92B | 8/13 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.07x | 7/8 |
| EPS | $-1.61 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $32.88 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $132.28 | – |
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -4.8% | 4/6 |
| ROA | -0.8% | 5/7 |
| ROIC | -1.6% | 6/7 |
| Operating Margin | -1.5% | 8/9 |
| Net Margin | -1.2% | 5/6 |
| EBT Margin | -2.6% | 8/9 |
| Tax Rate | 55.1% | – |
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.55x | 7/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.51x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 4.79x | 3/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.79x | 3/8 |
| Interest Coverage | -3.8x | 8/8 |
| Working Capital | -$3.26B | 7/11 |
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.02B | 6/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -28.5% | 6/6 |
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.69x | 6/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 21.7x | 6/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.2x | 7/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 17 days | 2/7 |
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $14.76B | 6/9 |
| Operating Income | -$224M | 8/9 |
| Net Income | -$175M | 5/7 |
| Metric | ALK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 112M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -155.9% | 3/5 |
| EPS Growth | -164.7% | 5/6 |
| Total Current Assets | $3.94B | 18.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.06B | 5.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $681M | 3.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $253M | 1.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $17.58B | 82.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $6.79B | 32.0% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alaska Air Group, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | ▲ | $3.92B |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | ▼ | $49.57B |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $31.19B |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc | ▼ | $27.42B |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co | ▶ | $19.32B |
| LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. | ▼ | $13.63B |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | ▶ | $7.86B |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | ▼ | $5.47B |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Co | ▶ | $1.83B |
| AZUL Azul Sa | ▼ | $1.17B |
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.08B |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $751M |
| FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. | ▲ | $61M |
Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK shares traded higher on Tuesday as investors weighed the company’s latest Alaska Accelerate update against a broadly risk-off market. The airline said it has captured ...
ALK gears up for Q3 earnings with revenue growth expected from strong passenger demand, but high fuel costs, inflation and ...
Alaska Air Group Inc., the parent company of Alaska Airlines Inc., Hawaiian Airlines, Inc. and Horizon Air Industries Inc., ...
Our AI ranks Alaska Air Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
For ALK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Alaska Air Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
13 issuers in our coverage, ALK included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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