What to expect from Aon's next quarterly earnings report
Aon plc (AON), headquartered in Dublin, Ireland, is a professional services firm that provides a range of risk and human ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Aon Plc (AON) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
24.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$62.06B
large-cap · #3 of 23 peers
Summary
Aon Plc (AON) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Aon Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Aon Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $62.06B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 23 Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AON, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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AON price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How AON ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Aon Plc (AON) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $62.06B | 3/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.13x | 11/12 |
| P/B Ratio | 13.00x | 4/18 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.06% | 6/9 |
| EPS | $18.14 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $22.51 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $82.86 | – |
| FCF/Share | $15.31 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 55.2% | 2/12 |
| Operating Margin | 37.0% | 2/14 |
| Net Margin | 21.0% | 3/15 |
| EBT Margin | 40.4% | 3/22 |
| Tax Rate | 21.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.03x | 16/20 |
| D/E Ratio | 5.08x | 6/20 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.5x | 10/19 |
| Working Capital | $888M | 4/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.53B | 2/24 |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.25B | 2/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$283M | 12/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 12.1% | 6/14 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 11.5% | 6/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 18.5% | 5/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.6% | 5/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | 3.3x | 12/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 23.1x | 10/14 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 111 days | 2/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $17.58B | 2/22 |
| Operating Income | $4.65B | 2/16 |
| Net Income | $2.64B | 2/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $3.10 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 17.1% | 5/5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 212M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 0.0% | 8/13 |
| EPS Growth | 54.1% | 2/10 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $28.11B | 96.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.06B | 3.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.35B | 18.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $24.27B | 83.3% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
AON quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
Aon Plc (AON) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aon Plc (Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AON Aon Plc | ▼ | $62.06B |
| MRSH Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. | ▼ | $89.88B |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | ▼ | $65.33B |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | ▼ | $23.22B |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $14.53B |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Co | ▶ | $11.26B |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $10.42B |
| ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $6.28B |
| HGTY Hagerty, Inc. | ▶ | $5.26B |
| BWIN Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4.45B |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | ▼ | $4.29B |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $4.03B |
| CRVL Corvel Corp | ▶ | $4.03B |
| GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. | ▲ | $1.66B |
| TWFG Twfg, Inc. | ▲ | $1.37B |
| CRD-A Crawford & Co | ▶ | $609M |
| RDZN Roadzen Inc. | ▲ | $88M |
| SLQT Selectquote, Inc. | ▲ | $60M |
| HIT Health In Tech, Inc. | ▲ | $41M |
| EHTH Ehealth, Inc. | ▲ | $19M |
| HUIZ Huize Holding Ltd | ▶ | $14M |
| CCG Cheche Group Inc. | ▲ | $11M |
| EZRA Reliance Global Group, Inc. | ▶ | $2M |
| AAPI Apple Isports Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| QDMI Qdm International Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| SUND Sundance Strategies, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
Where AON sits on the market map
Finance · Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service
News
Aon Plc (AON) stock news
Aon stock: Morgan Stanley cuts target for Aon stock to USD 350.00
Aon plc's latest analyst revision puts the insurance broker's USD 350.00 target 20.79 percent above its USD 289.76 ...
Aon: A Pricey USI Acquisition Ironically Creates Appeal, Holding On For A Dip
Aon shares have dropped sharply following its $17B acquisition of USI, reflecting market concerns over valuation and leverage. Learn more about AON stock here.
FAQ
Aon Plc (AON) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Aon Plc (AON) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Aon Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Aon Plc stock predictions?
For AON, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Aon Plc forecasts updated?
Aon Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Aon Plc's industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, AON included, share the SEC industry code Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service. The largest are: Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH), Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO), Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH), Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE), Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.