Accelerant Holdings (ARX) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Accelerant Holdings (ARX) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Accelerant Holdings every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Accelerant Holdings is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.32B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 23 Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ARX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 76.0%, measured on 199 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 242 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ARX included.
ARX price chart and AI forecast
How ARX ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Accelerant Holdings (ARX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ARX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.32B | 11/23 |
| P/B Ratio | 12.48x | 5/18 |
| EPS | $-7.17 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.59 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $6.10 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ARX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| EBT Margin | -143.2% | 22/22 |
| Tax Rate | -2.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ARX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 20.26x | 2/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ARX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $46M | 16/23 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ARX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.32B | 11/22 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ARX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 217M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.57B | 21.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.01B | 95.3% of assets |
ARX quarterly financials and insider trading
Accelerant Holdings (ARX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Accelerant Holdings (Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | $4.32B | |
| MRSH Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. | $97.39B | |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | $72.18B | |
| AON Aon Plc | $71.03B | |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | $23.92B | |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | $14.38B | |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Co | $12.61B | |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | $12.01B | |
| ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. | $6.38B | |
| HGTY Hagerty, Inc. | $6.15B | |
| BWIN Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | $4.46B | |
| CRVL Corvel Corp | $4.20B | |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | $3.86B | |
| GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. | $1.97B | |
| TWFG Twfg, Inc. | $1.52B | |
| CRD-A Crawford & Co | $565M | |
| RDZN Roadzen Inc. | $95M | |
| SLQT Selectquote, Inc. | $81M | |
| HIT Health In Tech, Inc. | $38M | |
| HUIZ Huize Holding Ltd | $23M | |
| CCG Cheche Group Inc. | $20M | |
| EHTH Ehealth, Inc. | $17M | |
| EZRA Reliance Global Group, Inc. | $2M | |
| QDMI Qdm International Inc. | N/A | |
| SUND Sundance Strategies, Inc. | N/A |
Where ARX sits on the market map
Accelerant Holdings (ARX) stock news
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Accelerant Holdings (ARX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Accelerant Holdings (ARX) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Accelerant Holdings every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Accelerant Holdings stock predictions?
For ARX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 76.0%, measured on 199 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 242 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Accelerant Holdings forecasts updated?
Accelerant Holdings forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Accelerant Holdings's industry peers?
25 issuers in our coverage, ARX included, share the SEC industry code Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service. The largest are: Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH), Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), Aon Plc (AON), Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO), Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH), Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.