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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

American Public Education Inc (APEI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 6.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $900M small-cap · #10 of 28 peers
Summary

American Public Education Inc (APEI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks American Public Education Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

American Public Education Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $900M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 28 Services-Educational Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For APEI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, APEI included.

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Price

APEI price chart and AI forecast

APEI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How APEI ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

American Public Education Inc (APEI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Educational Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAPEIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $900M $80M 10/28
P/E Ratio 25.89x 18.00x 3/13
P/B Ratio 2.87x 2.49x 9/21
EPS $1.90 – –
Book Value/Share $17.16 – –
Revenue/Share $36.50 – –
FCF/Share $3.83 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAPEIIndustry medianRank
ROE 14.5% 14.5% 7/13
ROA 8.5% 6.6% 6/16
ROIC 14.2% 10.0% 8/17
Gross Margin 55.9% 55.9% 6/11
Operating Margin 9.6% 5.6% 8/18
Net Margin 6.8% 10.5% 9/15
EBT Margin 9.0% 7.1% 9/18
Tax Rate 23.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricAPEIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.25x 1.56x 7/26
D/E Ratio 0.71x 0.87x 13/21
Financial Leverage 1.71x 1.87x 12/20
Interest Coverage 9.7x 3.1x 8/20
Working Capital $196M $16M 5/25

Cash Flow

MetricAPEIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $86M $42M 10/22
Free Cash Flow $70M $47M 6/12
Capital Spending -$16M -$27M 5/12
OCF Growth YoY 26.9% -6.5% 5/15
FCF Growth YoY 39.5% -3.3% 1/10
FCF/Sales 10.5% 7.4% 6/12
CapEx/Sales 2.3% 3.5% 9/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricAPEIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.24x 1.02x 3/14
Receivables Turnover 18.8x 12.8x 4/12
Fixed Assets Turnover 9.6x 9.6x 7/13
Days Sales Outstanding 19 days 28 days 9/12
Payables Period 6 days 31 days 11/11

Income Statement

MetricAPEIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $668M $763M 8/14
Operating Income $64M $12M 8/21
Net Income $46M $40M 8/16
SG&A Expense $306M $306M 6/11
Cost of Goods Sold $295M $91M 5/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAPEIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 18M – –
Net Income Growth 59.6% 6.1% 2/13
EPS Growth 222.0% 13.9% 1/13

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$283M52.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$147M27.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$36M6.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$224M41.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$82M15.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

APEI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Educational Services

American Public Education Inc (APEI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Public Education Inc (Services-Educational Services): 29 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
APEI American Public Education Inc ▼ $900M 25.9x 2.9x
TAL Tal Education Group ▶ $6.83B 23.5x 1.3x
LAUR Laureate Education, Inc. ▼ $5.32B 17.4x 4.7x
GHC Graham Holdings Co ▼ $5.17B 9.6x 1.1x
CVSA Covista Inc. ▼ $4.31B 18.0x 3.0x
LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc. ▼ $4.21B 19.6x 6.3x
LRN Stride, Inc. ▼ $3.42B 11.5x 2.1x
PRDO Perdoceo Education Corp ▼ $2.11B 13.2x 2.0x
STRA Strategic Education, Inc. ▼ $1.81B 13.6x 1.1x
UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc ▶ $1.13B 21.0x 3.3x
PXED Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. ▶ $852M – 2.6x
LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corp ▶ $705M 34.2x 3.5x
LGCY Legacy Education Inc. ▲ $131M 15.5x 2.5x
CHGG Chegg, Inc ▲ $81M – 0.7x
NRDY Nerdy Inc. ▲ $79M – 4.6x
LFS Leifras Co., Ltd. ▶ $58M – 6.7x
YOUL Youlife Group Inc. ▶ $22M – –
AACG Ata Creativity Global ▲ $20M – 4.4x
EDTK Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Ltd ▶ $15M – 0.3x
PCSV Pcs Edventures!, Inc. ▼ $14M 36.0x 1.8x
BRWC Birdie Win Corp ▼ $6M – –
VSA Visionsys Ai Inc ▼ $5M – –
AMBO Ambow Education Holding Ltd. ▼ $5M – 2.0x
LXEH Lixiang Education Holding Co. Ltd. ▼ $3M – 0.1x
BOXL Boxlight Corp ▶ $2M – –
KIDZ Kidz Ai Inc. ▼ $1M – –
DWAY Driveitaway Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1M – –
RPDL Rapid Line Inc. ▼ $450K – –
KPEA Kun Peng International Ltd. ▲ N/A – –

Where APEI sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Educational Services
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News

American Public Education Inc (APEI) stock news

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FAQ

American Public Education Inc (APEI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the American Public Education Inc (APEI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks American Public Education Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are American Public Education Inc stock predictions?

For APEI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are American Public Education Inc forecasts updated?

American Public Education Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are American Public Education Inc's industry peers?

29 issuers in our coverage, APEI included, share the SEC industry code Services-Educational Services. The largest are: Tal Education Group (TAL), Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR), Graham Holdings Co (GHC), Covista Inc. (CVSA), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), Stride, Inc. (LRN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.