Grand Canyon Education, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary
Q4 2026 guidance assumes a return to mid-single-digit new online enrollment growth as recent lead generation investments ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
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Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-11.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$3.19B
mid-cap · #5 of 28 peers
Summary
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Grand Canyon Education, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.19B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 28 Services-Educational Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 39.2% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of 21.9% is the highest of the 15 peers that report one.
For LOPE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LOPE included.
Price
LOPE price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How LOPE ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Educational Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | LOPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.19B | 5/28 |
| P/E Ratio | 13.07x | 10/14 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.98x | 3/21 |
| EPS | $9.35 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $24.53 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $44.05 | – |
| FCF/Share | $10.16 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | LOPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 39.2% | 1/13 |
| ROA | 28.1% | 1/16 |
| ROIC | 40.1% | 1/18 |
| Operating Margin | 27.3% | 1/19 |
| Net Margin | 21.9% | 1/15 |
| EBT Margin | 28.3% | 1/19 |
| Tax Rate | 22.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | LOPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.64x | 8/26 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.40x | 17/21 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.40x | 16/20 |
| Interest Coverage | 5063.1x | 1/21 |
| Working Capital | $185M | 6/25 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | LOPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $302M | 6/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | $265M | 4/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$37M | 8/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 8.3% | 8/15 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 9.5% | 6/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 23.1% | 1/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.2% | 7/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | LOPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.28x | 4/15 |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.0x | 10/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.3x | 8/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 36 days | 4/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | LOPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.15B | 5/15 |
| Operating Income | $313M | 4/22 |
| Net Income | $251M | 5/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | LOPE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 26M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 18.8% | 4/12 |
| EPS Growth | 26.2% | 4/13 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $298M | 33.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $59M | 6.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $114M | 12.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $255M | 28.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $94M | 10.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
LOPE quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Educational Services
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (Services-Educational Services): 29 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc. | $3.19B | |
| TAL Tal Education Group | $5.78B | |
| GHC Graham Holdings Co | $5.16B | |
| LAUR Laureate Education, Inc. | $4.52B | |
| CVSA Covista Inc. | $3.67B | |
| LRN Stride, Inc. | $3.15B | |
| PRDO Perdoceo Education Corp | $1.68B | |
| STRA Strategic Education, Inc. | $1.16B | |
| UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc | $1.08B | |
| PXED Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. | $775M | |
| APEI American Public Education Inc | $682M | |
| LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corp | $557M | |
| LGCY Legacy Education Inc. | $113M | |
| NRDY Nerdy Inc. | $75M | |
| CHGG Chegg, Inc | $68M | |
| LFS Leifras Co., Ltd. | $50M | |
| AACG Ata Creativity Global | $40M | |
| EDTK Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Ltd | $14M | |
| PCSV Pcs Edventures!, Inc. | $13M | |
| YOUL Youlife Group Inc. | $10M | |
| VSA Visionsys Ai Inc | $6M | |
| BRWC Birdie Win Corp | $4M | |
| AMBO Ambow Education Holding Ltd. | $4M | |
| LXEH Lixiang Education Holding Co. Ltd. | $3M | |
| BOXL Boxlight Corp | $1M | |
| DWAY Driveitaway Holdings, Inc. | $1M | |
| KIDZ Kidz Ai Inc. | $970K | |
| RPDL Rapid Line Inc. | $580K | |
| KPEA Kun Peng International Ltd. | N/A |
Where LOPE sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Services-Educational Services
News
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) stock news
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call Details
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Grand Canyon Education, Inc. Provides Earnings Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provided earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026. For the fourth quarter, the company expects service revenue of between $320.5 million and $321.5 ...
FAQ
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Grand Canyon Education, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Grand Canyon Education, Inc. stock predictions?
For LOPE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Grand Canyon Education, Inc. forecasts updated?
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s industry peers?
29 issuers in our coverage, LOPE included, share the SEC industry code Services-Educational Services. The largest are: Tal Education Group (TAL), Graham Holdings Co (GHC), Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR), Covista Inc. (CVSA), Stride, Inc. (LRN), Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.