Nerdy Inc. (NRDY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Nerdy Inc. (NRDY) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Nerdy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Nerdy Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $79M. It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 28 Services-Educational Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NRDY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How NRDY ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Nerdy Inc. (NRDY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Educational Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NRDY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $79M | 15/28 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.56x | 4/21 |
| EPS | $-0.30 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.35 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $13.94 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.38 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NRDY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -95.5% | 17/17 |
| Gross Margin | 61.0% | 2/11 |
| Operating Margin | -25.4% | 15/18 |
| EBT Margin | -25.6% | 15/18 |
| Tax Rate | -0.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NRDY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.70x | 9/26 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.24x | 4/21 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.74x | 2/20 |
| Interest Coverage | -11.8x | 18/20 |
| Working Capital | $29M | 11/25 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NRDY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$12M | 21/22 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$18M | 11/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$6M | 4/12 |
| FCF/Sales | -9.9% | 12/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.2% | 7/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NRDY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.76x | 1/14 |
| Receivables Turnover | 41.2x | 1/12 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 17.4x | 4/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 9 days | 12/12 |
| Payables Period | 23 days | 7/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NRDY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $178M | 11/14 |
| Operating Income | -$45M | 20/21 |
| SG&A Expense | $197M | 7/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $70M | 8/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NRDY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 13M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $46M | 71.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $38M | 59.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $4M | 6.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $39M | 59.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $13M | 19.7% of assets |
NRDY quarterly financials and insider trading
Nerdy Inc. (NRDY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nerdy Inc. (Services-Educational Services): 29 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NRDY Nerdy Inc. | ▲ | $79M |
| TAL Tal Education Group | ▲ | $6.83B |
| LAUR Laureate Education, Inc. | ▼ | $5.32B |
| GHC Graham Holdings Co | ▼ | $5.17B |
| CVSA Covista Inc. | ▼ | $4.31B |
| LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc. | ▼ | $4.21B |
| LRN Stride, Inc. | ▼ | $3.42B |
| PRDO Perdoceo Education Corp | ▶ | $2.11B |
| STRA Strategic Education, Inc. | ▼ | $1.81B |
| UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc | ▶ | $1.13B |
| APEI American Public Education Inc | ▼ | $900M |
| PXED Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. | ▲ | $852M |
| LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corp | ▶ | $705M |
| LGCY Legacy Education Inc. | ▲ | $131M |
| CHGG Chegg, Inc | ▲ | $81M |
| LFS Leifras Co., Ltd. | ▶ | $58M |
| YOUL Youlife Group Inc. | ▶ | $22M |
| AACG Ata Creativity Global | ▲ | $20M |
| EDTK Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Ltd | ▲ | $15M |
| PCSV Pcs Edventures!, Inc. | ▶ | $14M |
| BRWC Birdie Win Corp | ▶ | $6M |
| VSA Visionsys Ai Inc | ▼ | $5M |
| AMBO Ambow Education Holding Ltd. | ▶ | $5M |
| LXEH Lixiang Education Holding Co. Ltd. | ▼ | $3M |
| BOXL Boxlight Corp | ▼ | $2M |
| KIDZ Kidz Ai Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
| DWAY Driveitaway Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
| RPDL Rapid Line Inc. | ▼ | $450K |
| KPEA Kun Peng International Ltd. | ▶ | N/A |
Where NRDY sits on the market map
Nerdy Inc. (NRDY) stock news
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Nerdy Inc. (NRDY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nerdy Inc. (NRDY) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Nerdy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Nerdy Inc. stock predictions?
For NRDY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nerdy Inc. forecasts updated?
Nerdy Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Nerdy Inc.'s industry peers?
29 issuers in our coverage, NRDY included, share the SEC industry code Services-Educational Services. The largest are: Tal Education Group (TAL), Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR), Graham Holdings Co (GHC), Covista Inc. (CVSA), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), Stride, Inc. (LRN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.