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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Stride, Inc. (LRN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 23.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.42B mid-cap · #6 of 28 peers
Summary

Stride, Inc. (LRN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Stride, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Stride, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.42B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 28 Services-Educational Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For LRN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LRN included.

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Price

LRN price chart and AI forecast

LRN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How LRN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Stride, Inc. (LRN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Educational Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLRNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.42B $80M 6/28
P/E Ratio 11.54x 18.00x 12/13
P/B Ratio 2.10x 2.49x 12/21
EPS $7.14 – –
Book Value/Share $39.28 – –
Revenue/Share $60.59 – –
FCF/Share $10.42 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLRNIndustry medianRank
ROE 20.7% 14.5% 3/13
ROA 13.9% 6.6% 2/16
ROIC 21.0% 10.0% 3/17
Gross Margin 37.8% 55.9% 7/11
Operating Margin 17.9% 5.6% 5/18
Net Margin 13.4% 10.5% 4/15
EBT Margin 17.5% 7.1% 5/18
Tax Rate 23.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricLRNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 5.94x 1.56x 3/26
Quick Ratio 5.81x 1.74x 2/10
D/E Ratio 0.49x 0.87x 15/21
Financial Leverage 1.49x 1.87x 14/20
Working Capital $1.43B $16M 1/25

Cash Flow

MetricLRNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $434M $42M 2/22
Free Cash Flow $433M $47M 1/12
Capital Spending -$590K -$27M 2/12
OCF Growth YoY 0.2% -6.5% 7/15
FCF Growth YoY 0.5% -3.3% 5/10
FCF/Sales 17.2% 7.4% 3/12
CapEx/Sales 0.0% 3.5% 12/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricLRNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.03x 1.02x 7/14
Receivables Turnover 3.8x 12.8x 12/12
Inventory Turnover 41.0x 12.5x 2/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 24.7x 9.6x 3/13
Days Sales Outstanding 96 days 28 days 1/12
Days Inventory 9 days 34 days 5/6
Payables Period 11 days 31 days 10/11
Cash Conversion Cycle 94 days – –

Income Statement

MetricLRNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.52B $763M 1/14
Operating Income $451M $12M 1/21
Net Income $338M $40M 2/16
SG&A Expense $500M $306M 3/11
Cost of Goods Sold $1.57B $91M 1/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLRNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 42M – –
Net Income Growth 17.4% 6.1% 4/13
EPS Growth 20.0% 13.9% 5/13

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.72B70.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$754M31.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$665M27.3% of assets
Inventory$38M1.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$803M33.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$242M9.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LRN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Educational Services

Stride, Inc. (LRN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Stride, Inc. (Services-Educational Services): 29 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LRN Stride, Inc. ▼ $3.42B 11.5x 2.1x
TAL Tal Education Group ▲ $6.83B 23.5x 1.3x
LAUR Laureate Education, Inc. ▼ $5.32B 17.4x 4.7x
GHC Graham Holdings Co ▼ $5.17B 9.6x 1.1x
CVSA Covista Inc. ▼ $4.31B 18.0x 3.0x
LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc. ▼ $4.21B 19.6x 6.3x
PRDO Perdoceo Education Corp ▶ $2.11B 13.2x 2.0x
STRA Strategic Education, Inc. ▼ $1.81B 13.6x 1.1x
UTI Universal Technical Institute Inc ▶ $1.13B 21.0x 3.3x
APEI American Public Education Inc ▼ $900M 25.9x 2.9x
PXED Phoenix Education Partners, Inc. ▲ $852M – 2.6x
LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corp ▶ $705M 34.2x 3.5x
LGCY Legacy Education Inc. ▲ $131M 15.5x 2.5x
CHGG Chegg, Inc ▲ $81M – 0.7x
NRDY Nerdy Inc. ▲ $79M – 4.6x
LFS Leifras Co., Ltd. ▶ $58M – 6.7x
YOUL Youlife Group Inc. ▶ $22M – –
AACG Ata Creativity Global ▲ $20M – 4.4x
EDTK Skillful Craftsman Education Technology Ltd ▲ $15M – 0.3x
PCSV Pcs Edventures!, Inc. ▶ $14M 35.7x 1.8x
BRWC Birdie Win Corp ▶ $6M – –
VSA Visionsys Ai Inc ▼ $5M – –
AMBO Ambow Education Holding Ltd. ▶ $5M – 2.0x
LXEH Lixiang Education Holding Co. Ltd. ▼ $3M – 0.1x
BOXL Boxlight Corp ▼ $2M – –
KIDZ Kidz Ai Inc. ▼ $1M – –
DWAY Driveitaway Holdings, Inc. ▼ $1M – –
RPDL Rapid Line Inc. ▼ $450K – –
KPEA Kun Peng International Ltd. ▶ N/A – –

Where LRN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Educational Services
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News

Stride, Inc. (LRN) stock news

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FAQ

Stride, Inc. (LRN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Stride, Inc. (LRN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Stride, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Stride, Inc. stock predictions?

For LRN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Stride, Inc. forecasts updated?

Stride, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Stride, Inc.'s industry peers?

29 issuers in our coverage, LRN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Educational Services. The largest are: Tal Education Group (TAL), Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR), Graham Holdings Co (GHC), Covista Inc. (CVSA), Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE), Perdoceo Education Corp (PRDO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.