Which Is a Better Investment, Ardent Health, Inc. or Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. Stock?
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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
52.0%
Spearman, 253 dates
Market Cap
$2.44B
mid-cap · #5 of 6 peers
Summary
Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Ardent Health, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Ardent Health, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.44B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ARDT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 52.0%, measured on 253 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 36.0%, measured on 296 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
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Price
ARDT price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How ARDT ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ARDT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.44B | 5/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.01x | 3/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.75x | – |
| EPS | $1.44 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $9.90 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $45.76 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ARDT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 10.5% | – |
| ROA | 2.7% | – |
| Net Margin | 2.3% | 4/5 |
| EBT Margin | 4.5% | 5/6 |
| Tax Rate | 20.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ARDT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.13x | 1/6 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.03x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 2.56x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 3.83x | – |
| Working Capital | $1.15B | 2/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ARDT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $482M | 4/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 31.4% | 2/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ARDT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.21x | 2/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.8x | 1/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.2x | 2/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 37 days | 6/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ARDT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $6.45B | 5/6 |
| Net Income | $146M | 4/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ARDT | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 141M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -37.0% | – |
| EPS Growth | 18.0% | 2/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.17B | 40.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $766M | 14.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $662M | 12.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $110M | 2.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.57B | 66.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $618M | 11.6% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
ARDT quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC
Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ardent Health, Inc. (Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Industrial Applications and Services · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC
News
Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock news
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FAQ
Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Ardent Health, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Ardent Health, Inc. stock predictions?
For ARDT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 52.0%, measured on 253 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 36.0%, measured on 296 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ardent Health, Inc. forecasts updated?
Ardent Health, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Ardent Health, Inc.'s industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, ARDT included, share the SEC industry code Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC. The largest are: Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA), Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC), Universal Health Services Inc (UHS), Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY), Community Health Systems Inc (CYH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.