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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 58.0% Spearman, 250 dates
Market Cap $1.69B small-cap · #5 of 6 peers
Summary

Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, ARDT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Ardent Health, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.69B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For ARDT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 58.0%, measured on 250 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 293 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

ARDT price chart and AI forecast

ARDT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ARDT ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricARDTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.69B $6.49B 5/6
P/E Ratio 21.34x 10.61x 1/5
P/B Ratio 1.25x – –
EPS $0.56 – –
Book Value/Share $9.58 – –
Revenue/Share $45.42 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricARDTIndustry medianRank
ROE 5.8% – –
ROA 1.5% 2.1% 4/5
Net Margin 1.2% 4.3% 5/6
EBT Margin 3.2% 11.2% 6/6
Tax Rate 18.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricARDTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.10x 1.47x 1/6
Quick Ratio 1.99x – –
D/E Ratio 2.62x – –
Financial Leverage 3.91x – –
Working Capital $1.08B $806M 2/6

Cash Flow

MetricARDTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $514M $1.16B 4/6
OCF Growth YoY 70.3% 15.9% 1/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricARDTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.21x 1.14x 2/5
Receivables Turnover 9.2x 6.6x 1/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.0x 3.2x 2/6
Days Sales Outstanding 40 days 55 days 6/6

Income Statement

MetricARDTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.41B $15.05B 5/6
Net Income $78M $826M 5/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricARDTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 141M – –
Net Income Growth -73.8% – –
EPS Growth -68.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.05B38.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$724M13.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$696M13.2% of assets
Inventory$116M2.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.54B67.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$547M10.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ARDT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC

Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ardent Health, Inc. (Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ARDT Ardent Health, Inc. ▶ $1.69B 21.3x 1.3x
HCA Hca Healthcare, Inc. ▲ $104.70B 15.8x –
THC Tenet Healthcare Corp ▼ $22.15B 10.6x 5.3x
UHS Universal Health Services Inc ▼ $11.04B 7.7x 1.5x
SGRY Surgery Partners, Inc. ▲ $1.93B – 1.2x
CYH Community Health Systems Inc ▶ $406M 1.3x –

Where ARDT sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC
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News

Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock news

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FAQ

Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, ARDT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Ardent Health, Inc. stock predictions?

For ARDT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 58.0%, measured on 250 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 293 forecast dates between 2024-08-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ardent Health, Inc. forecasts updated?

Ardent Health, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ardent Health, Inc.'s industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, ARDT included, share the SEC industry code Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC. The largest are: Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA), Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC), Universal Health Services Inc (UHS), Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY), Community Health Systems Inc (CYH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.