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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 21.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.93B small-cap · #4 of 6 peers
Summary

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Surgery Partners, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Surgery Partners, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.93B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SGRY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SGRY included.

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Price

SGRY price chart and AI forecast

SGRY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How SGRY ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSGRYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.93B $6.49B 4/6
P/B Ratio 1.16x – –
EPS $-0.71 – –
Book Value/Share $12.76 – –
Revenue/Share $25.71 – –
FCF/Share $1.43 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSGRYIndustry medianRank
ROE -5.3% – –
ROA -1.1% 2.1% 5/5
ROIC 5.1% – –
Operating Margin 11.4% – –
Net Margin -2.6% 4.3% 6/6
EBT Margin 11.3% 11.2% 3/6
Tax Rate 5.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricSGRYIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.95x 1.47x 2/6
Quick Ratio 1.78x – –
D/E Ratio 2.96x – –
Financial Leverage 4.82x – –
Interest Coverage 0.4x – –
Working Capital $548M $806M 4/6

Cash Flow

MetricSGRYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $258M $1.16B 5/6
Free Cash Flow $188M $845M 4/5
Capital Spending -$70M -$955M 1/5
OCF Growth YoY -2.2% 15.9% 4/6
FCF Growth YoY 7.0% 7.0% 3/5
FCF/Sales 5.6% 5.6% 3/5
CapEx/Sales 2.1% 4.5% 5/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricSGRYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.42x 1.14x 5/5
Receivables Turnover 5.5x 6.6x 6/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.2x 3.2x 1/6
Days Sales Outstanding 67 days 55 days 1/6

Income Statement

MetricSGRYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.37B $15.05B 6/6
Operating Income $384M – –
Net Income -$89M $826M 6/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSGRYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 131M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.13B14.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$217M2.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$617M7.7% of assets
Inventory$99M1.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.95B61.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$403M5.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SGRY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Surgery Partners, Inc. (Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SGRY Surgery Partners, Inc. ▲ $1.93B – 1.2x
HCA Hca Healthcare, Inc. ▲ $104.70B 15.8x –
THC Tenet Healthcare Corp ▼ $22.15B 10.6x 5.3x
UHS Universal Health Services Inc ▼ $11.04B 7.7x 1.5x
ARDT Ardent Health, Inc. ▶ $1.69B 21.3x 1.3x
CYH Community Health Systems Inc ▶ $406M 1.3x –

Where SGRY sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC
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News

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) stock news

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FAQ

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Surgery Partners, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Surgery Partners, Inc. stock predictions?

For SGRY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Surgery Partners, Inc. forecasts updated?

Surgery Partners, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Surgery Partners, Inc.'s industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, SGRY included, share the SEC industry code Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC. The largest are: Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA), Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC), Universal Health Services Inc (UHS), Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT), Community Health Systems Inc (CYH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.