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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 9.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $103.40B large-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Hca Healthcare, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Hca Healthcare, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $103.40B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For HCA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HCA included.

Price

HCA price chart and AI forecast

HCA
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How HCA ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $103.40B $7.28B 1/6
P/E Ratio 16.43x 12.01x 2/5
Dividend Yield 0.66% – –
EPS $30.13 – –
Revenue/Share $376.75 – –
FCF/Share $28.59 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
ROA 10.7% – –
Net Margin 8.6% 6.7% 1/5
EBT Margin 12.5% 10.9% 2/6
Tax Rate 20.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.82x 1.53x 6/6
Quick Ratio 0.74x – –
Working Capital -$3.56B $985M 6/6

Cash Flow

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $11.17B $1.27B 1/6
Free Cash Flow $5.97B $1.12B 1/5
Capital Spending -$5.20B -$910M 5/5
OCF Growth YoY -13.0% 1.7% 5/6
FCF Growth YoY -26.2% 7.0% 4/5
FCF/Sales 7.6% 6.1% 2/5
CapEx/Sales 6.6% 4.1% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.24x 1.07x 1/5
Receivables Turnover 6.8x 6.7x 3/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.4x 3.1x 6/6
Days Sales Outstanding 53 days 55 days 4/6

Income Statement

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $78.70B $15.00B 1/6
Net Income $6.78B $1.46B 1/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHCAIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.26 – –
Payout Ratio 10.8% – –
Shares Outstanding 209M – –
Net Income Growth 6.8% – –
EPS Growth 16.3% 16.3% 3/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$16.22B
Cash & Short-term Investments$908M
Accounts Receivable$11.51B
Inventory$1.67B
Total Liabilities$68.05B
Short-term Debt$14.68B
Quarterly Financial Reports

HCA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hca Healthcare, Inc. (Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HCA Hca Healthcare, Inc. $103.40B 16.4x –
THC Tenet Healthcare Corp $22.55B 8.2x 5.3x
UHS Universal Health Services Inc $11.52B 8.2x 1.5x
SGRY Surgery Partners, Inc. $3.04B – 1.8x
ARDT Ardent Health, Inc. $2.44B 12.0x 1.8x
CYH Community Health Systems Inc $312M 24.6x –

Where HCA sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC
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News

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock news

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FAQ

Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Hca Healthcare, Inc. (HCA) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Hca Healthcare, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Hca Healthcare, Inc. stock predictions?

For HCA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Hca Healthcare, Inc. forecasts updated?

Hca Healthcare, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Hca Healthcare, Inc.'s industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, HCA included, share the SEC industry code Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC. The largest are: Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC), Universal Health Services Inc (UHS), Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY), Ardent Health, Inc. (ARDT), Community Health Systems Inc (CYH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.