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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

American Vanguard Corp (AVD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 8.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $31M small-cap · #8 of 12 peers
Summary

American Vanguard Corp (AVD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks American Vanguard Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

American Vanguard Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $31M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 12 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AVD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AVD included.

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Price

AVD price chart and AI forecast

AVD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AVD ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

American Vanguard Corp (AVD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAVDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $31M $718M 8/12
P/B Ratio 0.17x 0.63x 5/5
EPS $-2.06 – –
Book Value/Share $6.15 – –
Revenue/Share $21.22 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAVDIndustry medianRank
ROE -34.8% 36.5% 4/5
ROA -9.9% 8.1% 5/6
ROIC -6.7% 14.8% 7/8
Gross Margin 28.8% 37.4% 9/10
Operating Margin -5.0% 7.4% 8/11
Net Margin -10.1% 6.0% 6/8
EBT Margin -9.7% 0.5% 8/11
Tax Rate -4.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricAVDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.47x 1.62x 5/11
Quick Ratio 1.40x 1.09x 5/10
D/E Ratio 2.50x 1.10x 3/8
Financial Leverage 3.50x 2.15x 2/7
Interest Coverage -0.0x 0.3x 5/8
Working Capital $249M $238M 5/11

Cash Flow

MetricAVDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$42M $140M 10/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricAVDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.99x 0.99x 5/9
Receivables Turnover 3.6x 6.7x 8/8
Inventory Turnover 2.5x 4.8x 9/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.2x 4.9x 2/10
Days Sales Outstanding 102 days 57 days 1/8
Days Inventory 148 days 77 days 2/10
Payables Period 71 days 50 days 3/9
Cash Conversion Cycle 179 days 106 days 2/6

Income Statement

MetricAVDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $626M $677M 7/11
Operating Income -$31M $11M 9/12
Net Income -$63M $110M 7/8
R&D Expense $29M $29M 4/7
SG&A Expense $136M $118M 4/8
Cost of Goods Sold $446M $1.36B 7/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAVDIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 30M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$418M65.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$44M6.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$175M27.5% of assets
Inventory$181M28.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$454M71.5% of assets
Short-term Debt$82M12.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AVD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Agricultural Chemicals

American Vanguard Corp (AVD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Vanguard Corp (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AVD American Vanguard Corp ▲ $31M – 0.2x
NTR Nutrien Ltd. ▼ $34.66B 3.1x –
CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. ▼ $18.29B 9.0x 3.2x
ICL Icl Group Ltd. ▼ $6.41B 1.9x –
MOS Mosaic Co ▼ $5.98B – 0.5x
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co ▶ $3.18B 45.5x –
UAN Cvr Partners, Lp ▼ $1.34B 8.3x –
CBUS Cibus, Inc. ▲ $101M – 2.0x
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. ▶ $17M – –
BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc ▲ $10M – –
EVGN Evogene Ltd. ▶ $6M – –
SNES Senestech, Inc. ▶ $4M – 0.6x

Where AVD sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Agricultural Chemicals
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News

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FAQ

American Vanguard Corp (AVD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the American Vanguard Corp (AVD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks American Vanguard Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are American Vanguard Corp stock predictions?

For AVD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are American Vanguard Corp forecasts updated?

American Vanguard Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are American Vanguard Corp's industry peers?

12 issuers in our coverage, AVD included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Mosaic Co (MOS), Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.