Scotts Miracle-Gro stock jumps after Q4 earnings
Shares of Scotts Miracle-Gro Co SMG are trading higher on Wednesday after the company reported better-than-expected ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
18.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$3.86B
mid-cap · #5 of 12 peers
Summary
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Scotts Miracle-Gro Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.86B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 12 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SMG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SMG included.
Price
SMG price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How SMG ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-27
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.86B | 5/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 55.32x | 1/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.00% | – |
| EPS | $1.20 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $59.01 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.52 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.3% | 4/6 |
| ROIC | 19.4% | 4/8 |
| Gross Margin | 33.7% | 7/10 |
| Operating Margin | 11.6% | 5/11 |
| Net Margin | 2.1% | 5/8 |
| EBT Margin | 7.8% | 5/11 |
| Tax Rate | 37.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.21x | 10/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.78x | 6/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.1x | 1/7 |
| Working Capital | $238M | 6/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $369M | 5/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | $263M | 3/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$106M | 6/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 17.0% | 5/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 7.7% | 2/5 |
| FCF/Sales | 7.7% | 5/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.1% | 8/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.08x | 4/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 4.8x | 7/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.7x | 6/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.4x | 3/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 76 days | 2/8 |
| Days Inventory | 77 days | 5/10 |
| Payables Period | 50 days | 5/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 103 days | 4/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.44B | 5/11 |
| Operating Income | $400M | 4/12 |
| Net Income | $74M | 5/8 |
| SG&A Expense | $588M | 1/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.28B | 5/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SMG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.65 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 220.8% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 58M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 39.2% | – |
| EPS Growth | 42.9% | 3/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.35B | 42.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $28M | 0.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $713M | 22.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $481M | 15.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.38B | |
| Short-term Debt | $800M | 25.3% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
SMG quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Agricultural Chemicals
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co | $3.86B | |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | $35.12B | |
| CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. | $18.07B | |
| MOS Mosaic Co | $7.11B | |
| ICL Icl Group Ltd. | $6.04B | |
| UAN Cvr Partners, Lp | $1.16B | |
| CBUS Cibus, Inc. | $87M | |
| AVD American Vanguard Corp | $28M | |
| BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. | $15M | |
| BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc | $11M | |
| SNES Senestech, Inc. | $6M | |
| EVGN Evogene Ltd. | $5M |
Where SMG sits on the market map
Industrial Applications and Services · Agricultural Chemicals
News
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock news
Scotts: Fiscal Q4 earnings snapshot
MARYSVILLE, Ohio (AP) — MARYSVILLE, Ohio (AP) — Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. (SMG) on Wednesday reported a loss of $121.9 million in its fiscal fourth quarter. On a per-share basis, the Marysville, ...
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. Q3 Loss Narrows
Excluding items, The Scotts Miracle-Gro Co. reported adjusted earnings of -$125.4 million or -$2.16 per share for the period. The company's revenue for the period fell 10.9% to $302.9 million from ...
FAQ
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Scotts Miracle-Gro Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Scotts Miracle-Gro Co stock predictions?
For SMG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Scotts Miracle-Gro Co forecasts updated?
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Scotts Miracle-Gro Co's industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, SMG included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Mosaic Co (MOS), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN), Cibus, Inc. (CBUS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.