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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Mosaic Co (MOS) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 26.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $7.11B mid-cap · #3 of 12 peers
Summary

Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Mosaic Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Mosaic Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.11B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 12 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 7.4% is the lowest of the 10 peers that report one.

For MOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MOS included.

Price

MOS price chart and AI forecast

MOS
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MOS ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Mosaic Co (MOS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.11B $622M 3/12
P/B Ratio 0.63x 1.05x 4/5
Dividend Yield 3.95% – –
EPS $-1.97 – –
Book Value/Share $35.54 – –
Revenue/Share $37.42 – –
FCF/Share $-2.54 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
ROIC -2.9% 14.8% 6/8
Gross Margin 7.4% 37.4% 10/10
Operating Margin -5.1% 7.4% 8/11
EBT Margin -7.5% -3.7% 7/11
Tax Rate -17.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.50x 1.62x 7/11
Quick Ratio 0.54x 0.98x 10/10
D/E Ratio 1.12x 1.19x 5/8
Financial Leverage 2.14x 2.14x 4/7
Interest Coverage -0.6x -0.6x 4/7
Working Capital $1.67B $238M 3/11

Cash Flow

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $500M $153M 4/12
Free Cash Flow -$808M $59M 9/9
Capital Spending -$1.31B -$88M 8/9
OCF Growth YoY -54.6% 17.1% 7/7
FCF/Sales -6.8% 7.7% 6/9
CapEx/Sales 11.0% 7.2% 3/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.49x 0.99x 7/9
Receivables Turnover 11.7x 8.5x 4/8
Inventory Turnover 3.4x 5.2x 7/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.9x 4.9x 9/10
Days Sales Outstanding 31 days 51 days 5/8
Days Inventory 107 days 70 days 4/10
Payables Period 29 days 50 days 7/9
Cash Conversion Cycle 109 days 106 days 3/6

Income Statement

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $11.90B $659M 3/11
Operating Income -$606M $11M 12/12
SG&A Expense $510M $118M 2/8
Cost of Goods Sold $11.02B $1.38B 3/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMOSIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.88 – –
Shares Outstanding 318M – –
EPS Growth -171.6% 39.9% 6/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.03B21.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$273M1.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.01B4.2% of assets
Inventory$3.22B13.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$12.66B52.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.48B10.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MOS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Agricultural Chemicals

Mosaic Co (MOS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mosaic Co (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MOS Mosaic Co $7.11B – 0.6x
NTR Nutrien Ltd. $35.12B 3.2x –
CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. $18.07B 8.4x 3.2x
ICL Icl Group Ltd. $6.04B 1.8x –
SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co $3.86B 55.3x –
UAN Cvr Partners, Lp $1.16B 10.9x –
CBUS Cibus, Inc. $87M – 1.7x
AVD American Vanguard Corp $28M – 0.2x
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. $15M – –
BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc $11M – –
SNES Senestech, Inc. $6M – 1.1x
EVGN Evogene Ltd. $5M – –

Where MOS sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Agricultural Chemicals
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News

Mosaic Co (MOS) stock news

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FAQ

Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Mosaic Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Mosaic Co stock predictions?

For MOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mosaic Co forecasts updated?

Mosaic Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Mosaic Co's industry peers?

12 issuers in our coverage, MOS included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN), Cibus, Inc. (CBUS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.