CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports First Nine Months 2026 Net Earnings of $1.78 Billion, Adjusted EBITDA of $3.01 Billion
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CF), a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, today announced ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast
Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-8.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$18.07B
large-cap · #2 of 12 peers
Summary
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $18.07B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 12 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For CF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CF included.
Price
CF price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How CF ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | CF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $18.07B | 2/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 8.44x | 3/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.15x | 1/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.79% | – |
| EPS | $14.14 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $37.87 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $52.47 | – |
| FCF/Share | $13.75 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | CF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 38.1% | 3/5 |
| ROA | 13.6% | 3/6 |
| ROIC | 22.4% | 3/8 |
| Gross Margin | 42.5% | 3/10 |
| Operating Margin | 41.6% | 2/11 |
| Net Margin | 27.5% | 2/8 |
| EBT Margin | 39.8% | 1/11 |
| Tax Rate | 18.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | CF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.98x | 3/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.68x | 3/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.25x | 4/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.81x | 3/7 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.2x | 2/7 |
| Working Capital | $2.72B | 2/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | CF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.08B | 3/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.08B | 2/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.00B | 7/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 17.1% | 4/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 21.6% | 1/5 |
| FCF/Sales | 26.2% | 1/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 12.6% | 2/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | CF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.49x | 7/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 12.4x | 2/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 11.0x | 2/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.1x | 7/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 30 days | 7/8 |
| Days Inventory | 33 days | 9/10 |
| Payables Period | 62 days | 4/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 1 days | 6/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | CF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $7.94B | 4/11 |
| Operating Income | $3.30B | 3/12 |
| Net Income | $2.18B | 3/8 |
| SG&A Expense | $370M | 3/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $4.56B | 4/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | CF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.14 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 15.1% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 151M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 38.7% | – |
| EPS Growth | 71.0% | 1/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $4.09B | 25.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.82B | 17.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $642M | 4.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $416M | 2.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.18B | 44.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $593M | 3.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
CF quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Agricultural Chemicals
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. | $18.07B | |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | $35.12B | |
| MOS Mosaic Co | $7.11B | |
| ICL Icl Group Ltd. | $6.04B | |
| SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co | $3.86B | |
| UAN Cvr Partners, Lp | $1.16B | |
| CBUS Cibus, Inc. | $87M | |
| AVD American Vanguard Corp | $28M | |
| BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. | $15M | |
| BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc | $11M | |
| SNES Senestech, Inc. | $6M | |
| EVGN Evogene Ltd. | $5M |
Where CF sits on the market map
Industrial Applications and Services · Agricultural Chemicals
News
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) stock news
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to CF Industries' First Quarter of 2026. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the presentation over to the host for today, Mr. Martin Jarosick, ...
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2026
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. reported earnings results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2026. For the third quarter, the company reported sales was USD 1,860 million compared ...
FAQ
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For CF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Cf Industries Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, CF included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Mosaic Co (MOS), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN), Cibus, Inc. (CBUS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.