Mosaic Co (MOS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Mosaic Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Mosaic Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.98B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 12 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 11.0% is the lowest of the 10 peers that report one.
For MOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MOS ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Mosaic Co (MOS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.98B | 4/12 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.52x | 4/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.68% | – |
| EPS | $-0.45 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $36.06 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $38.53 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.98 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -0.8% | 6/8 |
| Gross Margin | 11.0% | 10/10 |
| Operating Margin | -1.4% | 7/11 |
| EBT Margin | 0.5% | 6/11 |
| Tax Rate | 573.2% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | MOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.34x | 7/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.43x | 10/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.13x | 4/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.15x | 4/7 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.6x | 4/8 |
| Working Capital | $1.37B | 3/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $444M | 4/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$947M | 9/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.39B | 8/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -62.5% | 7/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -22125.6% | 6/6 |
| FCF/Sales | -7.7% | 6/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 11.4% | 2/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.50x | 8/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 14.2x | 2/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 3.0x | 7/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.9x | 9/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 26 days | 7/8 |
| Days Inventory | 123 days | 4/10 |
| Payables Period | 39 days | 7/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 109 days | 3/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $12.25B | 3/11 |
| Operating Income | -$170M | 12/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $512M | 2/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $10.90B | 3/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MOS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.88 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 318M | – |
| EPS Growth | -119.2% | 6/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $5.43B | 22.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $294M | 1.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $860M | 3.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $3.67B | 15.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $13.01B | 53.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.89B | 11.8% of assets |
MOS quarterly financials and insider trading
Mosaic Co (MOS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mosaic Co (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MOS Mosaic Co | ▼ | $5.98B |
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | ▼ | $34.66B |
| CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $18.29B |
| ICL Icl Group Ltd. | ▼ | $6.41B |
| SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co | ▶ | $3.18B |
| UAN Cvr Partners, Lp | ▼ | $1.34B |
| CBUS Cibus, Inc. | ▲ | $101M |
| AVD American Vanguard Corp | ▲ | $31M |
| BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. | ▶ | $17M |
| BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc | ▲ | $10M |
| EVGN Evogene Ltd. | ▶ | $6M |
| SNES Senestech, Inc. | ▶ | $4M |
Where MOS sits on the market map
Mosaic Co (MOS) stock news
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Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mosaic Co (MOS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Mosaic Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Mosaic Co stock predictions?
For MOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mosaic Co forecasts updated?
Mosaic Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Mosaic Co's industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, MOS included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Nutrien Ltd. (NTR), Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN), Cibus, Inc. (CBUS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.