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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Azul Sa (AZUL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -65.0% Spearman, 120 dates
Market Cap $1.17B small-cap · #10 of 13 peers
Summary

Azul Sa (AZUL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Azul Sa outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Azul Sa is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.17B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AZUL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -65.0%, measured on 120 forecast dates between 2026-02-02 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -16.0%, measured on 163 forecast dates between 2026-02-02 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AZUL included.

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Price

AZUL price chart and AI forecast

AZUL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AZUL ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-04-25

Azul Sa (AZUL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in BRL and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Financial statement data is not available for this company: its filings are not in a form the pipeline converts, so only market data is shown.

Valuation & Market

MetricAZULIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.17B $5.47B 10/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAZULIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 179M – –
Quarterly Financial Reports

AZUL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air Transportation, Scheduled

Azul Sa (AZUL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Azul Sa (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AZUL Azul Sa ▼ $1.17B – –
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. ▼ $49.57B 14.0x 2.2x
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. ▶ $31.19B 9.0x 1.9x
RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc ▼ $27.42B – –
LUV Southwest Airlines Co ▶ $19.32B 45.4x 2.4x
LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. ▼ $13.63B 2373.5x –
AAL American Airlines Group Inc. ▶ $7.86B – –
CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. ▼ $5.47B – –
ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. ▲ $3.92B – 1.1x
ALGT Allegiant Travel Co ▶ $1.83B 44.7x 1.7x
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.08B – 4.9x
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. ▼ $751M 14.2x 0.5x
FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. ▲ $61M – 2.1x

Where AZUL sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Air Transportation, Scheduled
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News

Azul Sa (AZUL) stock news

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FAQ

Azul Sa (AZUL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Azul Sa (AZUL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Azul Sa outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Azul Sa stock predictions?

For AZUL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -65.0%, measured on 120 forecast dates between 2026-02-02 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -16.0%, measured on 163 forecast dates between 2026-02-02 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Azul Sa forecasts updated?

Azul Sa forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Azul Sa's industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, AZUL included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.