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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 21.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $146.83B large-cap · #6 of 20 peers
Summary

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $146.83B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 50.2% is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.

For BBVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BBVA included.

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Price

BBVA price chart and AI forecast

BBVA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BBVA ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricBBVAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $146.83B $89.28B 6/20
FCF/Share $-7.81 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBBVAIndustry medianRank
ROE 50.2% 21.7% 1/12
ROA 3.6% 1.6% 2/15
Tax Rate 31.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricBBVAIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 12.91x 14.46x 10/17
Financial Leverage 13.91x 15.47x 10/17

Cash Flow

MetricBBVAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$41.39B $2.45B 18/20
Free Cash Flow -$44.59B $66M 10/11
Capital Spending -$3.21B -$1.11B 8/11
OCF Growth YoY -201.5% -59.2% 14/16

Income Statement

MetricBBVAIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $53.89B – –
Net Income $35.13B $11.23B 2/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBBVAIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 5709M – –
Net Income Growth 45.5% 19.1% 3/12

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)

Cash & Short-term Investments$69.11B
Total Liabilities$937.13B
Quarterly Financial Reports

BBVA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. ▼ $146.83B – –
RY Royal Bank Of Canada ▼ $277.04B 11.1x –
MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc ▶ $259.67B 25.2x 2.1x
TD Toronto Dominion Bank ▼ $203.40B 7.6x –
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. ▼ $195.37B 4.8x –
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. ▼ $160.23B 2.8x –
HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd ▼ $121.50B – 281.9x
BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ ▼ $118.44B 11.4x –
CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ ▼ $104.22B 9.8x –
ING Ing Groep Nv ▼ $97.09B 4.2x –
LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc ▼ $81.48B 20.7x –
BCS Barclays Plc ▼ $77.53B 14.5x –
NWG Natwest Group Plc ▼ $70.31B 7.6x –
BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. ▼ $20.90B – –
BSAC Banco Santander Chile ▼ $15.40B 1804.3x –
GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa ▼ $6.02B – –
NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd ▼ $2.34B 12.3x 2.1x
ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.44B 19.7x 4.6x
PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp ▶ $769M 17.3x 1.1x
VBNK Versabank ▶ $710M – –
AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. ▶ N/A – –
DJP Barclays Bank Plc ▼ N/A – –
WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where BBVA sits on the market map

Finance · Commercial Banks, NEC
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News

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) stock news

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FAQ

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. stock predictions?

For BBVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. forecasts updated?

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.'s industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, BBVA included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Hdfc Bank Ltd (HDB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.