Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LYG) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Lloyds Banking Group Plc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Lloyds Banking Group Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $77.02B.
It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For LYG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does.
Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LYG included.
Price
LYG price chart and AI forecast
LYG
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How LYG ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Statement values were filed in GBP and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
Metric
LYG
Industry median
Rank
Market Cap
$77.02B
$84.69B
11/20
P/E Ratio
19.60x
11.47x
4/15
EPS
$0.26
–
–
Revenue/Share
$7.28
–
–
FCF/Share
$-0.77
–
–
Profitability & Margins
Metric
LYG
Industry median
Rank
EBT Margin
23.7%
33.9%
11/14
Tax Rate
26.9%
–
–
Financial Health
Metric
LYG
Industry median
Rank
D/E Ratio
18.80x
14.46x
3/17
Financial Leverage
19.81x
15.47x
3/17
Cash Flow
Metric
LYG
Industry median
Rank
Operating Cash Flow
$7.83B
$2.45B
7/20
Free Cash Flow
-$11.31B
$62M
8/11
Capital Spending
-$19.13B
-$1.11B
10/11
OCF Growth YoY
-89.4%
-59.2%
12/16
FCF/Sales
-10.4%
3.7%
5/7
CapEx/Sales
17.7%
1.1%
1/7
Operational Efficiency
Metric
LYG
Industry median
Rank
Asset Turnover
0.09x
0.05x
3/13
Income Statement
Metric
LYG
Industry median
Rank
Total Revenue
$108.31B
$45.85B
3/13
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Metric
LYG
Industry median
Rank
Shares Outstanding
14869M
–
–
EPS Growth
-9.1%
22.1%
13/15
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from GBP)
Cash & Short-term Investments
$81.65B
Total Liabilities
$1.21T
Quarterly Financial Reports
LYG quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC
Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LYG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lloyds Banking Group Plc (Commercial Banks, NEC): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Lloyds Banking Group plc announced board changes following new ring-fencing governance arrangements. Under the latest Direction from the PRA dated 8 May 2026, all board members of Lloyds Bank plc and ...
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Thanks, everyone, for joining this second session of the conference. I'm delighted to welcome one more year Charlie Nunn, CEO of Lloyds Banking Group. We were discussing it, it's your fifth or sixth ...
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What is the Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LYG) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Lloyds Banking Group Plc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Lloyds Banking Group Plc stock predictions?
For LYG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Lloyds Banking Group Plc forecasts updated?
Lloyds Banking Group Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Lloyds Banking Group Plc's industry peers?
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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