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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Total
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
29.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$195.37B
large-cap · #4 of 20 peers
Summary
Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, SAN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Banco Santander, S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $195.37B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SAN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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SAN price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How SAN ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2025-12-31
Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $195.37B | 4/20 |
| P/E Ratio | 4.75x | 13/15 |
| EPS | $2.80 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-9.17 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.1% | 3/15 |
| Tax Rate | 27.1% | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$109.41B | 20/20 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$134.66B | 11/11 |
| Capital Spending | -$25.25B | 11/11 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -442.3% | 15/16 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $44.83B | 1/15 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 14689M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 28.4% | 4/12 |
| EPS Growth | 39.6% | 4/15 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $178.88B | |
| Inventory | $8M | |
| Total Liabilities | $2.06T |
Quarterly Financial Reports
SAN quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC
Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Banco Santander, S.A. (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | ▶ | $195.37B |
| RY Royal Bank Of Canada | ▼ | $277.04B |
| MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc | ▶ | $259.67B |
| TD Toronto Dominion Bank | ▼ | $203.40B |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | ▶ | $160.23B |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | ▶ | $146.83B |
| HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd | ▼ | $121.50B |
| BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ | ▼ | $118.44B |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ | ▼ | $104.22B |
| ING Ing Groep Nv | ▶ | $97.09B |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc | ▼ | $81.48B |
| BCS Barclays Plc | ▶ | $77.53B |
| NWG Natwest Group Plc | ▶ | $70.31B |
| BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. | ▶ | $20.90B |
| BSAC Banco Santander Chile | ▼ | $15.40B |
| GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa | ▶ | $6.02B |
| NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd | ▼ | $2.34B |
| ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.44B |
| PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp | ▶ | $769M |
| VBNK Versabank | ▶ | $710M |
| AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. | ▶ | N/A |
| DJP Barclays Bank Plc | ▼ | N/A |
| WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp | ▼ | N/A |
Where SAN sits on the market map
Finance · Commercial Banks, NEC
News
Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock news
Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Good morning, and welcome to Santander's Third Quarter 2025 Results Presentation. For the call today, we will be joined by Hector Grisi, our Group CEO; and Jose Garcia-Cantera, our CFO. Hector, over ...
Is Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) A Good Stock To Buy Now?
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FAQ
Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, SAN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Banco Santander, S.A. stock predictions?
For SAN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Banco Santander, S.A. forecasts updated?
Banco Santander, S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Banco Santander, S.A.'s industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, SAN included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA), Hdfc Bank Ltd (HDB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.