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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 29.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $195.37B large-cap · #4 of 20 peers
Summary

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, SAN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Banco Santander, S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $195.37B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SAN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

SAN price chart and AI forecast

SAN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How SAN ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricSANIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $195.37B $89.28B 4/20
P/E Ratio 4.75x 11.35x 13/15
EPS $2.80 – –
FCF/Share $-9.17 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSANIndustry medianRank
ROA 2.1% 1.6% 3/15
Tax Rate 27.1% – –

Cash Flow

MetricSANIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$109.41B $2.45B 20/20
Free Cash Flow -$134.66B $66M 11/11
Capital Spending -$25.25B -$1.11B 11/11
OCF Growth YoY -442.3% -59.2% 15/16

Income Statement

MetricSANIndustry medianRank
Net Income $44.83B $11.23B 1/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSANIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 14689M – –
Net Income Growth 28.4% 19.1% 4/12
EPS Growth 39.6% 22.1% 4/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)

Cash & Short-term Investments$178.88B
Inventory$8M
Total Liabilities$2.06T
Quarterly Financial Reports

SAN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Banco Santander, S.A. (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. ▶ $195.37B 4.8x –
RY Royal Bank Of Canada ▼ $277.04B 11.1x –
MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc ▶ $259.67B 25.2x 2.1x
TD Toronto Dominion Bank ▼ $203.40B 7.6x –
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. ▶ $160.23B 2.8x –
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. ▶ $146.83B – –
HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd ▼ $121.50B – 281.9x
BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ ▼ $118.44B 11.4x –
CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ ▼ $104.22B 9.8x –
ING Ing Groep Nv ▶ $97.09B 4.2x –
LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc ▼ $81.48B 20.7x –
BCS Barclays Plc ▶ $77.53B 14.5x –
NWG Natwest Group Plc ▶ $70.31B 7.6x –
BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. ▶ $20.90B – –
BSAC Banco Santander Chile ▼ $15.40B 1804.3x –
GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa ▶ $6.02B – –
NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd ▼ $2.34B 12.3x 2.1x
ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.44B 19.7x 4.6x
PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp ▶ $769M 17.3x 1.1x
VBNK Versabank ▶ $710M – –
AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. ▶ N/A – –
DJP Barclays Bank Plc ▼ N/A – –
WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where SAN sits on the market map

Finance · Commercial Banks, NEC
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News

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock news

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FAQ

Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, SAN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Banco Santander, S.A. stock predictions?

For SAN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Banco Santander, S.A. forecasts updated?

Banco Santander, S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Banco Santander, S.A.'s industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, SAN included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA), Hdfc Bank Ltd (HDB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.