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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -19.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $20.90B large-cap · #14 of 20 peers
Summary

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $20.90B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BSBR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BSBR included.

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Price

BSBR price chart and AI forecast

BSBR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BSBR ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in BRL and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricBSBRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $20.90B $89.28B 14/20

Profitability & Margins

MetricBSBRIndustry medianRank
ROE 39.8% 21.7% 3/12
ROA 3.9% 1.6% 1/15

Financial Health

MetricBSBRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 9.14x 14.46x 15/17
Financial Leverage 10.15x 15.47x 15/17

Cash Flow

MetricBSBRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $4.90B $2.45B 9/20
OCF Growth YoY -66.8% -59.2% 9/16

Income Statement

MetricBSBRIndustry medianRank
Net Income $8.95B $11.23B 11/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBSBRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 3745M – –
Net Income Growth -13.9% 19.1% 10/12

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from BRL)

Cash & Short-term Investments$13.38B
Total Liabilities$208.75B
Quarterly Financial Reports

BSBR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. ▼ $20.90B – –
RY Royal Bank Of Canada ▼ $277.04B 11.1x –
MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc ▶ $259.67B 25.2x 2.1x
TD Toronto Dominion Bank ▼ $203.40B 7.6x –
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. ▼ $195.37B 4.8x –
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. ▼ $160.23B 2.8x –
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. ▼ $146.83B – –
HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd ▼ $121.50B – 281.9x
BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ ▼ $118.44B 11.4x –
CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ ▼ $104.22B 9.8x –
ING Ing Groep Nv ▼ $97.09B 4.2x –
LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc ▼ $81.48B 20.7x –
BCS Barclays Plc ▼ $77.53B 14.5x –
NWG Natwest Group Plc ▼ $70.31B 7.6x –
BSAC Banco Santander Chile ▼ $15.40B 1804.3x –
GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa ▼ $6.02B – –
NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd ▼ $2.34B 12.3x 2.1x
ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.44B 19.7x 4.6x
PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp ▶ $769M 17.3x 1.1x
VBNK Versabank ▶ $710M – –
AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. ▶ N/A – –
DJP Barclays Bank Plc ▼ N/A – –
WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where BSBR sits on the market map

Finance · Commercial Banks, NEC
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News

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) stock news

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FAQ

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (BSBR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. stock predictions?

For BSBR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. forecasts updated?

Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A.'s industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, BSBR included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.