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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 41.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $5.09B mid-cap · #12 of 26 peers
Summary

Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Boyd Gaming Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Boyd Gaming Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.09B. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 26 Hotels & Motels issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 3.11x is the lowest of the 15 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of 44.3% is the highest of the 20 peers that report one.

For BYD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BYD included.

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Price

BYD price chart and AI forecast

BYD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BYD ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hotels & Motels peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBYDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.09B $4.74B 12/26
P/E Ratio 3.11x 17.77x 15/15
P/B Ratio 2.04x 2.95x 10/17
Dividend Yield 1.13% 1.71% 8/14
EPS $22.53 – –
Book Value/Share $34.42 – –
Revenue/Share $56.41 – –
FCF/Share $0.48 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBYDIndustry medianRank
ROE 72.7% 16.9% 4/13
ROA 27.2% 3.4% 2/19
ROIC 11.1% 11.2% 9/16
Operating Margin 16.4% 11.7% 6/20
Net Margin 44.3% 4.3% 1/20
EBT Margin 55.9% 3.2% 1/23
Tax Rate 20.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricBYDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.77x 0.89x 14/21
Quick Ratio 0.74x 0.85x 11/15
D/E Ratio 1.67x 4.32x 13/17
Financial Leverage 2.67x 5.33x 11/15
Interest Coverage 6.6x 2.7x 4/23
Working Capital -$141M -$51M 14/21

Cash Flow

MetricBYDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $626M $424M 9/24
Free Cash Flow $35M $323M 14/17
Capital Spending -$591M -$232M 12/17
OCF Growth YoY -34.4% 7.3% 19/22
FCF Growth YoY -92.4% 8.9% 14/14
FCF/Sales 0.9% 9.0% 13/16
CapEx/Sales 14.4% 4.7% 2/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricBYDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.61x 0.51x 5/19
Receivables Turnover 52.0x 22.1x 3/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.4x 2.3x 11/18
Days Sales Outstanding 7 days 17 days 17/19

Income Statement

MetricBYDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.10B $3.71B 9/20
Operating Income $671M $428M 8/21
Net Income $1.82B $169M 3/21
SG&A Expense $436M $457M 7/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBYDIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.79 – –
Payout Ratio 3.5% 37.5% 13/13
Shares Outstanding 73M – –
Net Income Growth 221.9% 4.9% 2/15
EPS Growth 248.2% 4.3% 2/16

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$482M7.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$323M4.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$79M1.2% of assets
Inventory$19M0.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.19B62.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$479M7.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BYD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Hotels & Motels

Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Boyd Gaming Corp (Hotels & Motels): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BYD Boyd Gaming Corp ▼ $5.09B 3.1x 2.0x
MAR Marriott International Inc /Md/ ▼ $100.58B 39.9x –
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. ▼ $77.67B 50.7x –
IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ ▼ $27.37B 10.9x –
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp ▲ $24.82B 17.3x 42.7x
H Hyatt Hotels Corp ▼ $15.92B 272.4x 4.8x
HTHT H World Group Ltd ▲ $14.11B – 8.3x
WYNN Wynn Resorts Ltd ▲ $7.93B 15.8x –
MGM Mgm Resorts International ▲ $7.42B 17.4x 3.0x
CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. ▼ $5.87B – 1.7x
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. ▼ $5.59B 27.6x 7.5x
RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc. ▼ $5.30B 17.8x 31.0x
CHH Choice Hotels International Inc /De ▶ $4.88B 14.3x 34.3x
ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd ▼ $4.59B – 14.2x
TNL Travel & Leisure Co. ▼ $4.00B 17.7x –
PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. ▲ $3.17B – 1.0x
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ▶ $2.21B 79.1x 1.2x
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc ▶ $2.11B 19.6x 3.8x
PENN Penn Entertainment, Inc. ▶ $2.04B – 1.1x
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. ▶ $1.72B 233.4x 1.6x
MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd ▶ $1.66B – –
BALY Bally's Corp ▲ $677M – 1.1x
MSC Studio City International Holdings Ltd ▲ $192M – 0.2x
FLL Full House Resorts Inc ▲ $40M – –
CNTY Century Casinos Inc /Co/ ▲ $22M – –
HIGR Hi-Great Group Holding Co ▼ $1M – –

Where BYD sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Hotels & Motels
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News

Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) stock news

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FAQ

Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Boyd Gaming Corp (BYD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Boyd Gaming Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Boyd Gaming Corp stock predictions?

For BYD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Boyd Gaming Corp forecasts updated?

Boyd Gaming Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Boyd Gaming Corp's industry peers?

26 issuers in our coverage, BYD included, share the SEC industry code Hotels & Motels. The largest are: Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT), Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ (IHG), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS), Hyatt Hotels Corp (H), H World Group Ltd (HTHT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.