Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, MCRI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.11B. It ranks number 18 by market capitalization among the 26 Hotels & Motels issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 0.32x is the lowest of the 17 peers that report one.
For MCRI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MCRI ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hotels & Motels peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MCRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.11B | 18/26 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.58x | 7/15 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.84x | 8/17 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% | 10/14 |
| EPS | $5.90 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $30.07 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $30.42 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.46 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MCRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.9% | 6/13 |
| ROA | 15.1% | 3/19 |
| Gross Margin | 24.6% | 5/6 |
| Net Margin | 19.6% | 3/20 |
| EBT Margin | 25.1% | 2/23 |
| Tax Rate | 21.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MCRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.98x | 6/21 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.92x | 6/15 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.32x | 17/17 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.32x | 15/15 |
| Interest Coverage | 24.8x | 3/23 |
| Working Capital | -$4M | 5/21 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MCRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $177M | 19/24 |
| Free Cash Flow | $155M | 12/17 |
| Capital Spending | -$22M | 3/17 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 27.3% | 7/22 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 73.4% | 5/14 |
| FCF/Sales | 27.8% | 1/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.0% | 9/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MCRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.77x | 2/19 |
| Receivables Turnover | 57.3x | 2/19 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.0x | 14/18 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 6 days | 18/19 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MCRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $556M | 19/20 |
| Net Income | $109M | 12/21 |
| SG&A Expense | $110M | 10/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MCRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.19 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 20.2% | 10/13 |
| Shares Outstanding | 18M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 46.8% | 4/15 |
| EPS Growth | 49.0% | 5/16 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $147M | 20.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $120M | 16.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $10M | 1.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $8M | 1.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $175M | 24.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $105M | 14.5% of assets |
MCRI quarterly financials and insider trading
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (Hotels & Motels): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc | ▶ | $2.11B |
| MAR Marriott International Inc /Md/ | ▼ | $100.58B |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $77.67B |
| IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ | ▼ | $27.37B |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp | ▲ | $24.82B |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corp | ▼ | $15.94B |
| HTHT H World Group Ltd | ▲ | $14.11B |
| WYNN Wynn Resorts Ltd | ▲ | $7.93B |
| MGM Mgm Resorts International | ▲ | $7.42B |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. | ▼ | $5.87B |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $5.59B |
| RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $5.30B |
| BYD Boyd Gaming Corp | ▼ | $5.09B |
| CHH Choice Hotels International Inc /De | ▶ | $4.88B |
| ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $4.59B |
| TNL Travel & Leisure Co. | ▼ | $4.00B |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | ▲ | $3.17B |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | ▶ | $2.21B |
| PENN Penn Entertainment, Inc. | ▶ | $2.04B |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▶ | $1.72B |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd | ▶ | $1.66B |
| BALY Bally's Corp | ▲ | $677M |
| MSC Studio City International Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $192M |
| FLL Full House Resorts Inc | ▲ | $40M |
| CNTY Century Casinos Inc /Co/ | ▲ | $22M |
| HIGR Hi-Great Group Holding Co | ▼ | $1M |
Where MCRI sits on the market map
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) stock news
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Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, MCRI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Monarch Casino & Resort Inc stock predictions?
For MCRI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Monarch Casino & Resort Inc forecasts updated?
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Monarch Casino & Resort Inc's industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, MCRI included, share the SEC industry code Hotels & Motels. The largest are: Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT), Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ (IHG), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS), Hyatt Hotels Corp (H), H World Group Ltd (HTHT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.