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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 36.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.66B small-cap · #21 of 26 peers
Summary

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, MLCO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.66B. It ranks number 21 by market capitalization among the 26 Hotels & Motels issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MLCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

MLCO price chart and AI forecast

MLCO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MLCO ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hotels & Motels peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMLCOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.66B $4.74B 21/26
EPS $-0.18 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMLCOIndustry medianRank
ROIC 1.6% 11.2% 13/16
Gross Margin 7.9% 36.5% 6/6
Operating Margin 2.7% 11.7% 14/20
EBT Margin -9.1% 3.2% 19/23
Tax Rate -3.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricMLCOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.07x 0.89x 3/21
Quick Ratio 1.04x 0.85x 3/15
Interest Coverage 1.3x 2.7x 16/23
Working Capital $85M -$51M 2/21

Cash Flow

MetricMLCOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $362M $424M 15/24
OCF Growth YoY -59.2% 7.3% 21/22

Operational Efficiency

MetricMLCOIndustry medianRank
Inventory Turnover 52.1x 9.5x 2/5
Days Inventory 7 days 38 days 4/5
Payables Period 5 days – –

Income Statement

MetricMLCOIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $102M $428M 13/21
SG&A Expense $534M $457M 5/11
Cost of Goods Sold $1.92B $524M 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMLCOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 385M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.27B16.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.02B13.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$126M1.7% of assets
Inventory$37M0.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$8.50B
Short-term Debt$1.16B15.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MLCO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Hotels & Motels

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (Hotels & Motels): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd ▶ $1.66B – –
MAR Marriott International Inc /Md/ ▼ $100.58B 39.9x –
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. ▼ $77.67B 50.7x –
IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ ▼ $27.37B 10.9x –
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp ▲ $24.82B 17.3x 42.7x
H Hyatt Hotels Corp ▼ $15.92B 272.4x 4.8x
HTHT H World Group Ltd ▲ $14.11B – 8.3x
WYNN Wynn Resorts Ltd ▲ $7.93B 15.8x –
MGM Mgm Resorts International ▲ $7.42B 17.4x 3.0x
CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. ▼ $5.87B – 1.7x
WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. ▼ $5.59B 27.6x 7.5x
RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc. ▼ $5.30B 17.8x 31.0x
BYD Boyd Gaming Corp ▼ $5.09B 3.1x 2.0x
CHH Choice Hotels International Inc /De ▶ $4.88B 14.3x 34.3x
ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd ▼ $4.59B – 14.2x
TNL Travel & Leisure Co. ▼ $4.00B 17.7x –
PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. ▲ $3.17B – 1.0x
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ▶ $2.21B 79.1x 1.2x
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc ▶ $2.11B 19.6x 3.8x
PENN Penn Entertainment, Inc. ▶ $2.04B – 1.1x
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. ▶ $1.72B 233.4x 1.6x
BALY Bally's Corp ▲ $677M – 1.1x
MSC Studio City International Holdings Ltd ▲ $192M – 0.2x
FLL Full House Resorts Inc ▲ $40M – –
CNTY Century Casinos Inc /Co/ ▲ $22M – –
HIGR Hi-Great Group Holding Co ▼ $1M – –

Where MLCO sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Hotels & Motels
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News

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO) stock news

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FAQ

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (MLCO) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, MLCO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd stock predictions?

For MLCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd forecasts updated?

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd's industry peers?

26 issuers in our coverage, MLCO included, share the SEC industry code Hotels & Motels. The largest are: Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT), Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ (IHG), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS), Hyatt Hotels Corp (H), H World Group Ltd (HTHT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.