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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5185 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 22.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $104.22B large-cap · #9 of 20 peers
Summary

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $104.22B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CM included.

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Price

CM price chart and AI forecast

CM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CM ranks among 5185 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-01-31

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricCMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $104.22B $89.28B 9/20
P/E Ratio 9.79x 11.35x 10/15
EPS $11.48 – –
Revenue/Share $40.20 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCMIndustry medianRank
ROE 23.9% 21.7% 6/12
ROA 1.4% 1.6% 10/15
Net Margin 30.1% 27.3% 6/12
EBT Margin 38.1% 33.9% 6/14
Tax Rate 20.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricCMIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 16.33x 14.46x 5/17
Financial Leverage 17.34x 15.47x 5/17

Cash Flow

MetricCMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $13.28B $2.45B 6/20
OCF Growth YoY -51.6% -59.2% 8/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricCMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.05x 7/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 15.1x 13.7x 4/8

Income Statement

MetricCMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $37.25B $45.85B 9/13
Net Income $11.23B $11.23B 8/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 927M – –
Net Income Growth 22.0% 19.1% 5/12
EPS Growth 22.1% 22.1% 8/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Cash & Short-term Investments$8.08B
Total Liabilities$783.55B
Quarterly Financial Reports

CM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ ▼ $104.22B 9.8x –
RY Royal Bank Of Canada ▼ $277.04B 11.1x –
MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc ▶ $259.67B 25.2x 2.1x
TD Toronto Dominion Bank ▼ $203.40B 7.6x –
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. ▼ $195.37B 4.8x –
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. ▼ $160.23B 2.8x –
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. ▼ $146.83B – –
HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd ▼ $121.50B – 281.9x
BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ ▼ $118.44B 11.4x –
ING Ing Groep Nv ▼ $97.09B 4.2x –
LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc ▼ $81.48B 20.7x –
BCS Barclays Plc ▼ $77.53B 14.5x –
NWG Natwest Group Plc ▼ $70.31B 7.6x –
BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. ▼ $20.90B – –
BSAC Banco Santander Chile ▼ $15.40B 1804.3x –
GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa ▼ $6.02B – –
NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd ▼ $2.34B 12.3x 2.1x
ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.44B 19.7x 4.6x
PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp ▶ $769M 17.3x 1.1x
VBNK Versabank ▶ $710M – –
AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. ▶ N/A – –
DJP Barclays Bank Plc ▼ N/A – –
WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where CM sits on the market map

Finance · Commercial Banks, NEC
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News

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock news

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FAQ

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ stock predictions?

For CM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ forecasts updated?

Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/'s industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, CM included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.