Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $104.22B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For CM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CM included.
Follow CM freeCM price chart and AI forecast
How CM ranks among 5185 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | CM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $104.22B | 9/20 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.79x | 10/15 |
| EPS | $11.48 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $40.20 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | CM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 23.9% | 6/12 |
| ROA | 1.4% | 10/15 |
| Net Margin | 30.1% | 6/12 |
| EBT Margin | 38.1% | 6/14 |
| Tax Rate | 20.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | CM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 16.33x | 5/17 |
| Financial Leverage | 17.34x | 5/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | CM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $13.28B | 6/20 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -51.6% | 8/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | CM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.05x | 7/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 15.1x | 4/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | CM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $37.25B | 9/13 |
| Net Income | $11.23B | 8/15 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | CM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 927M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 22.0% | 5/12 |
| EPS Growth | 22.1% | 8/15 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $8.08B | |
| Total Liabilities | $783.55B |
CM quarterly financials and insider trading
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ | ▼ | $104.22B |
| RY Royal Bank Of Canada | ▼ | $277.04B |
| MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc | ▶ | $259.67B |
| TD Toronto Dominion Bank | ▼ | $203.40B |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | ▼ | $195.37B |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | ▼ | $160.23B |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | ▼ | $146.83B |
| HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd | ▼ | $121.50B |
| BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ | ▼ | $118.44B |
| ING Ing Groep Nv | ▼ | $97.09B |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc | ▼ | $81.48B |
| BCS Barclays Plc | ▼ | $77.53B |
| NWG Natwest Group Plc | ▼ | $70.31B |
| BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. | ▼ | $20.90B |
| BSAC Banco Santander Chile | ▼ | $15.40B |
| GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa | ▼ | $6.02B |
| NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd | ▼ | $2.34B |
| ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.44B |
| PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp | ▶ | $769M |
| VBNK Versabank | ▶ | $710M |
| AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. | ▶ | N/A |
| DJP Barclays Bank Plc | ▼ | N/A |
| WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp | ▼ | N/A |
Where CM sits on the market map
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock news
Loading...
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ (CM) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ stock predictions?
For CM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ forecasts updated?
Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/'s industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, CM included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.