Coty Inc. (COTY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Coty Inc. (COTY) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Coty Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Coty Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.82B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 19 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For COTY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 60.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, COTY included.
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How COTY ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Coty Inc. (COTY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | COTY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.82B | 7/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.94x | 10/14 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.47% | 6/6 |
| EPS | $-0.70 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.39 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $6.59 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.40 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | COTY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -27.2% | 11/13 |
| ROA | -8.0% | 10/15 |
| Gross Margin | 62.9% | 5/15 |
| Operating Margin | -1.5% | 11/16 |
| Net Margin | -14.8% | 12/14 |
| EBT Margin | -11.1% | 11/16 |
| Tax Rate | 3.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | COTY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.28x | 4/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.41x | 4/15 |
| Interest Coverage | -1.7x | 10/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | COTY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $538M | 5/18 |
| Free Cash Flow | $348M | 5/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$190M | 8/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 9.2% | 8/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 17.4% | 7/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 6.0% | 9/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.3% | 2/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | COTY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.57x | 14/15 |
Income Statement
| Metric | COTY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $5.81B | 5/15 |
| Operating Income | -$82M | 16/17 |
| Net Income | -$814M | 15/15 |
| SG&A Expense | $3.11B | 5/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.15B | 5/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | COTY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.01 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 881M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Liabilities | $6.82B | 69.5% of assets |
COTY quarterly financials and insider trading
Coty Inc. (COTY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Coty Inc. (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| COTY Coty Inc. | ▲ | $2.82B |
| CL Colgate Palmolive Co | ▼ | $75.02B |
| HLN Haleon Plc | ▼ | $44.72B |
| EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc | ▶ | $37.82B |
| KVUE Kenvue Inc. | ▼ | $36.32B |
| ELF E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. | ▶ | $6.70B |
| IPAR Interparfums Inc | ▶ | $3.71B |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Co | ▼ | $1.29B |
| ODD Oddity Tech Ltd | ▲ | $1.03B |
| WALD Waldencast Plc | ▲ | $100M |
| SLSN Solesence, Inc. | ▲ | $64M |
| SHFH Scientist Home Future Health Ltd | ▼ | $40M |
| AXIL Axil Brands, Inc. | ▶ | $37M |
| UG United Guardian Inc | ▶ | $31M |
| KARX Karbon-X Corp. | ▼ | $18M |
| DQWS Dswiss Inc | ▼ | $17M |
| CABR Caring Brands, Inc. | ▶ | $13M |
| BNKK Bonk, Inc. | ▶ | $10M |
| YCBD Cbdmd, Inc. | ▲ | $4M |
Where COTY sits on the market map
Coty Inc. (COTY) stock news
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Coty Inc. (COTY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Coty Inc. (COTY) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Coty Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Coty Inc. stock predictions?
For COTY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 60.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Coty Inc. forecasts updated?
Coty Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Coty Inc.'s industry peers?
19 issuers in our coverage, COTY included, share the SEC industry code Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations. The largest are: Colgate Palmolive Co (CL), Haleon Plc (HLN), Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL), Kenvue Inc. (KVUE), E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF), Interparfums Inc (IPAR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.