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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

United Guardian Inc (UG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 18.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $31M small-cap · #14 of 19 peers
Summary

United Guardian Inc (UG) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks United Guardian Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

United Guardian Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $31M. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 19 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 12.76x is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of 22.0% is the highest of the 14 peers that report one.

For UG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, UG included.

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Price

UG price chart and AI forecast

UG
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How UG ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

United Guardian Inc (UG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $31M $96M 14/19
P/E Ratio 12.76x 23.18x 8/8
P/B Ratio 2.71x 2.72x 8/14
Book Value/Share $2.53 – –
Revenue/Share $2.44 – –
FCF/Share $0.74 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUGIndustry medianRank
ROE 21.2% 4.8% 2/13
ROA 18.1% -2.6% 1/15
ROIC 19.7% 6.0% 5/13
Gross Margin 46.9% 58.2% 10/15
Operating Margin 20.8% 2.6% 1/16
Net Margin 22.0% -1.1% 1/14
EBT Margin 27.6% 0.2% 1/16
Tax Rate 20.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricUGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 7.32x 1.70x 1/17
Quick Ratio 6.64x 0.97x 1/17
D/E Ratio 0.17x 1.11x 14/15
Financial Leverage 1.17x 2.11x 14/15
Working Capital $11M $11M 9/17

Cash Flow

MetricUGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3M $4M 10/18
Free Cash Flow $3M $263M 10/12
Capital Spending -$70K -$43M 2/12
OCF Growth YoY 63.2% 15.4% 3/10
FCF Growth YoY 93.5% 23.0% 4/10
FCF/Sales 30.3% 13.5% 1/12
CapEx/Sales 0.6% 2.2% 11/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricUGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.82x 0.82x 8/15
Receivables Turnover 6.6x 10.7x 10/13
Inventory Turnover 5.0x 3.0x 4/14
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.8x 10.1x 6/14
Days Sales Outstanding 55 days 34 days 4/13
Days Inventory 72 days 107 days 10/14
Payables Period 31 days 69 days 11/13
Cash Conversion Cycle 97 days 89 days 6/12

Income Statement

MetricUGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $11M $1.50B 12/15
Operating Income $2M $0.00M 8/17
Net Income $2M $0.00M 7/15
R&D Expense $480K $31M 5/6
Cost of Goods Sold $6M $255M 13/16

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUGIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 5M – –
Net Income Growth -3.6% -16.8% 4/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$13M93.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2M17.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2M12.5% of assets
Inventory$1M8.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$2M14.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$1M9.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

UG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

United Guardian Inc (UG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as United Guardian Inc (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
UG United Guardian Inc ▲ $31M 12.8x 2.7x
CL Colgate Palmolive Co ▼ $75.02B 36.5x 317.9x
HLN Haleon Plc ▼ $44.72B 14.5x –
EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc ▼ $37.82B 209.1x 9.9x
KVUE Kenvue Inc. ▼ $36.32B 24.2x 3.4x
ELF E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. ▶ $6.70B 115.9x 5.7x
IPAR Interparfums Inc ▶ $3.71B 22.1x 4.3x
COTY Coty Inc. ▲ $2.82B – 0.9x
EPC Edgewell Personal Care Co ▼ $1.29B – 0.9x
ODD Oddity Tech Ltd ▲ $1.03B – 2.6x
WALD Waldencast Plc ▲ $96M – 0.2x
SLSN Solesence, Inc. ▲ $63M – 4.8x
SHFH Scientist Home Future Health Ltd ▼ $40M – –
AXIL Axil Brands, Inc. ▲ $38M 16.2x 2.7x
DQWS Dswiss Inc ▶ $17M – –
KARX Karbon-X Corp. ▼ $17M – –
CABR Caring Brands, Inc. ▲ $13M – –
BNKK Bonk, Inc. ▼ $10M – 0.4x
YCBD Cbdmd, Inc. ▲ $4M – 0.5x

Where UG sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
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News

United Guardian Inc (UG) stock news

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FAQ

United Guardian Inc (UG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the United Guardian Inc (UG) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks United Guardian Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are United Guardian Inc stock predictions?

For UG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are United Guardian Inc forecasts updated?

United Guardian Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are United Guardian Inc's industry peers?

19 issuers in our coverage, UG included, share the SEC industry code Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations. The largest are: Colgate Palmolive Co (CL), Haleon Plc (HLN), Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL), Kenvue Inc. (KVUE), E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF), Interparfums Inc (IPAR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.