E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, ELF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.70B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 19 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ELF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ELF ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ELF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $6.70B | 5/19 |
| P/E Ratio | 115.85x | 2/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 5.73x | 3/14 |
| EPS | $0.98 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $19.81 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $29.86 | – |
| FCF/Share | $4.75 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ELF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 5.1% | 6/13 |
| ROA | 2.4% | 6/15 |
| ROIC | 6.0% | 7/13 |
| Gross Margin | 74.4% | 2/15 |
| Operating Margin | 7.2% | 7/16 |
| Net Margin | 3.4% | 6/14 |
| EBT Margin | 4.8% | 7/16 |
| Tax Rate | 28.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ELF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.55x | 6/17 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.82x | 6/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.11x | 8/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.11x | 8/15 |
| Working Capital | $522M | 3/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ELF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $297M | 6/18 |
| Free Cash Flow | $280M | 6/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$17M | 6/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 85.8% | 2/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 107.6% | 2/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 15.9% | 5/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.9% | 8/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ELF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.72x | 11/15 |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.1x | 8/13 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.8x | 12/14 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 44.4x | 4/14 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 36 days | 6/13 |
| Days Inventory | 200 days | 2/14 |
| Payables Period | 78 days | 6/13 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 158 days | 2/12 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ELF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.76B | 7/15 |
| Operating Income | $127M | 6/17 |
| Net Income | $60M | 5/15 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.11B | 6/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $450M | 8/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ELF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 59M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -39.1% | 6/8 |
| EPS Growth | -42.0% | 5/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $860M | 34.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $344M | 14.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $175M | 7.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $247M | 10.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.29B | 52.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $242M | 9.8% of assets |
ELF quarterly financials and insider trading
E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ELF E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. | ▶ | $6.70B |
| CL Colgate Palmolive Co | ▼ | $75.02B |
| HLN Haleon Plc | ▼ | $44.72B |
| EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc | ▼ | $37.82B |
| KVUE Kenvue Inc. | ▼ | $36.32B |
| IPAR Interparfums Inc | ▶ | $3.71B |
| COTY Coty Inc. | ▲ | $2.82B |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Co | ▼ | $1.29B |
| ODD Oddity Tech Ltd | ▲ | $1.03B |
| WALD Waldencast Plc | ▲ | $100M |
| SLSN Solesence, Inc. | ▲ | $64M |
| SHFH Scientist Home Future Health Ltd | ▼ | $40M |
| AXIL Axil Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $37M |
| UG United Guardian Inc | ▲ | $31M |
| KARX Karbon-X Corp. | ▼ | $18M |
| DQWS Dswiss Inc | ▶ | $17M |
| CABR Caring Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $13M |
| BNKK Bonk, Inc. | ▼ | $10M |
| YCBD Cbdmd, Inc. | ▲ | $4M |
Where ELF sits on the market map
E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) stock news
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E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) stock forecast FAQ
What is the E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, ELF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. stock predictions?
For ELF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. forecasts updated?
E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are E.L.F. Beauty, Inc.'s industry peers?
19 issuers in our coverage, ELF included, share the SEC industry code Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations. The largest are: Colgate Palmolive Co (CL), Haleon Plc (HLN), Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL), Kenvue Inc. (KVUE), Interparfums Inc (IPAR), Coty Inc. (COTY).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.