The Estée Lauder Companies earnings preview: What to expect
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL), based in New York, is a global prestige beauty company that develops, manufactures, ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
49.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$37.82B
large-cap · #3 of 19 peers
Summary
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Estee Lauder Companies Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Estee Lauder Companies Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $37.82B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 19 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 209.08x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 75.5% is the highest of the 15 peers that report one.
For EL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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EL price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How EL ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $37.82B | 3/19 |
| P/E Ratio | 209.08x | 1/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.94x | 2/14 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% | 5/6 |
| EPS | $0.50 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.52 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $41.59 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.64 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 4.8% | 7/13 |
| ROA | 0.9% | 7/15 |
| ROIC | 5.8% | 8/13 |
| Gross Margin | 75.5% | 1/15 |
| Operating Margin | 5.2% | 8/16 |
| Net Margin | 1.2% | 7/14 |
| EBT Margin | 3.4% | 8/16 |
| Tax Rate | 64.8% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.22x | 10/17 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.90x | 11/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.19x | 2/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.19x | 2/15 |
| Working Capital | $1.38B | 1/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.77B | 4/18 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.32B | 4/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$457M | 10/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 39.4% | 4/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 96.4% | 3/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 8.7% | 8/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.0% | 3/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.76x | 9/15 |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.9x | 9/13 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.8x | 11/14 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.4x | 12/14 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 37 days | 5/13 |
| Days Inventory | 198 days | 3/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $15.05B | 4/15 |
| Operating Income | $780M | 4/17 |
| Net Income | $182M | 3/15 |
| SG&A Expense | $9.69B | 2/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.69B | 4/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.40 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 280.0% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 362M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $7.61B | 38.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $3.50B | 17.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.52B | 7.7% of assets |
| Inventory | $2.00B | 10.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $15.96B | 80.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
EL quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Estee Lauder Companies Inc (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc | ▼ | $37.82B |
| CL Colgate Palmolive Co | ▼ | $75.02B |
| HLN Haleon Plc | ▼ | $44.72B |
| KVUE Kenvue Inc. | ▼ | $36.32B |
| ELF E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. | ▶ | $6.70B |
| IPAR Interparfums Inc | ▶ | $3.71B |
| COTY Coty Inc. | ▲ | $2.82B |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Co | ▼ | $1.29B |
| ODD Oddity Tech Ltd | ▲ | $1.03B |
| WALD Waldencast Plc | ▲ | $96M |
| SLSN Solesence, Inc. | ▲ | $63M |
| SHFH Scientist Home Future Health Ltd | ▼ | $40M |
| AXIL Axil Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $38M |
| UG United Guardian Inc | ▲ | $31M |
| DQWS Dswiss Inc | ▶ | $17M |
| KARX Karbon-X Corp. | ▼ | $17M |
| CABR Caring Brands, Inc. | ▲ | $13M |
| BNKK Bonk, Inc. | ▼ | $10M |
| YCBD Cbdmd, Inc. | ▲ | $4M |
Where EL sits on the market map
Industrial Applications and Services · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
News
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock news
The Estée Lauder Companies anuncia a los ganadores de BEAUTY&YOU India 2026 y celebra cinco años de apoyo a los emprendedores del sector de la belleza …
Desde su lanzamiento en 2022, BEAUTY&YOU India ha identificado e impulsado a una nueva generación de emprendedores del sector ...
The Estée Lauder Companies Announces Partnership with Profound to Expand AI Visibility Across Its Global Brand Portfolio
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE: EL) today announced a global strategic partnership with Profound, the category-defining AI marketing platform, advancing its ambition to be prestige beauty’s ...
FAQ
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Estee Lauder Companies Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Estee Lauder Companies Inc stock predictions?
For EL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Estee Lauder Companies Inc forecasts updated?
Estee Lauder Companies Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Estee Lauder Companies Inc's industry peers?
19 issuers in our coverage, EL included, share the SEC industry code Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations. The largest are: Colgate Palmolive Co (CL), Haleon Plc (HLN), Kenvue Inc. (KVUE), E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF), Interparfums Inc (IPAR), Coty Inc. (COTY).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.