Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, EL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Estee Lauder Companies Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $37.82B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 19 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 209.08x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 75.5% is the highest of the 15 peers that report one.
For EL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How EL ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $37.82B | 3/19 |
| P/E Ratio | 209.08x | 1/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.94x | 2/14 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% | 5/6 |
| EPS | $0.50 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.52 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $41.59 | – |
| FCF/Share | $3.64 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 4.8% | 7/13 |
| ROA | 0.9% | 7/15 |
| ROIC | 5.8% | 8/13 |
| Gross Margin | 75.5% | 1/15 |
| Operating Margin | 5.2% | 8/16 |
| Net Margin | 1.2% | 7/14 |
| EBT Margin | 3.4% | 8/16 |
| Tax Rate | 64.8% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.22x | 10/17 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.90x | 11/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.19x | 2/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.19x | 2/15 |
| Working Capital | $1.38B | 1/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.77B | 4/18 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.32B | 4/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$457M | 10/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 39.4% | 4/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 96.4% | 3/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 8.7% | 8/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.0% | 3/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.76x | 9/15 |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.9x | 9/13 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.8x | 11/14 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.4x | 12/14 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 37 days | 5/13 |
| Days Inventory | 198 days | 3/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $15.05B | 4/15 |
| Operating Income | $780M | 4/17 |
| Net Income | $182M | 3/15 |
| SG&A Expense | $9.69B | 2/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.69B | 4/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | EL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.40 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 280.0% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 362M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $7.61B | 38.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $3.50B | 17.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.52B | 7.7% of assets |
| Inventory | $2.00B | 10.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $15.96B | 80.7% of assets |
EL quarterly financials and insider trading
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Estee Lauder Companies Inc (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc | ▶ | $37.82B |
| CL Colgate Palmolive Co | ▼ | $75.02B |
| HLN Haleon Plc | ▼ | $44.72B |
| KVUE Kenvue Inc. | ▼ | $36.32B |
| ELF E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. | ▶ | $6.70B |
| IPAR Interparfums Inc | ▶ | $3.71B |
| COTY Coty Inc. | ▲ | $2.82B |
| EPC Edgewell Personal Care Co | ▼ | $1.29B |
| ODD Oddity Tech Ltd | ▲ | $1.03B |
| WALD Waldencast Plc | ▲ | $100M |
| SLSN Solesence, Inc. | ▲ | $64M |
| SHFH Scientist Home Future Health Ltd | ▼ | $40M |
| AXIL Axil Brands, Inc. | ▶ | $37M |
| UG United Guardian Inc | ▶ | $31M |
| KARX Karbon-X Corp. | ▼ | $18M |
| DQWS Dswiss Inc | ▼ | $17M |
| CABR Caring Brands, Inc. | ▶ | $13M |
| BNKK Bonk, Inc. | ▶ | $10M |
| YCBD Cbdmd, Inc. | ▲ | $4M |
Where EL sits on the market map
Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock news
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Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, EL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Estee Lauder Companies Inc stock predictions?
For EL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 49.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Estee Lauder Companies Inc forecasts updated?
Estee Lauder Companies Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Estee Lauder Companies Inc's industry peers?
19 issuers in our coverage, EL included, share the SEC industry code Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations. The largest are: Colgate Palmolive Co (CL), Haleon Plc (HLN), Kenvue Inc. (KVUE), E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF), Interparfums Inc (IPAR), Coty Inc. (COTY).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.